Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/17/2022

The New York Yankees (63-28) host the Boston Red Sox (48-44) at 1:35 PM ET Sunday for a sluggers’ duel between two of the best home-run hitters in baseball. Aaron Judge has racked up 33 homers this season (No. 1 in the league) for the favored Yankees which sit as -198 favorites, while Rafael Devers ranks ninth in the majors with 22 dingers of his own for the underdogs. New York’s Gerrit Cole and Boston’s Chris Sale have been named the starters for this contest.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Red Sox

We have the Red Sox on the moneyline at +168 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+168) and Over (7.5)

Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Chris Sale
• Game Day: Sunday, July 17, 2022
• Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
• Location: The Bronx, New York
• Stadium: Yankee Stadium

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Gerrit Cole

• Cole gets the start for the Yankees, his 19th of the season. He is 8-2 with a 3.05 ERA and 135 strikeouts in 106 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Tuesday, the righty went 7 2/3 scoreless innings against the Cincinnati Reds while surrendering four hits.
• The 31-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.05, with 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .194 batting average against him.
• Cole is trying to secure his 13th quality start of the year in this matchup.
• Cole will aim to go five or more innings for his seventh straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.3 innings per outing.
• He will match up with a Red Sox offense that ranks third in MLB with 818 total hits (on a .257 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .412 (eighth in MLB) with 90 total home runs (18th in MLB).
• In 10 innings over two appearances against the Red Sox this season, Cole has a 7.2 ERA and a 1.3 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .243.
• The 31-year-old’s 3.05 ERA ranks 24th, .997 WHIP ranks 12th, and 11.4 K/9 ranks third among qualifying pitchers this season.

Red Sox Starter Chris Sale

• Sale will take to the mound for the Red Sox, his second start of the season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the Tampa Bay Rays, throwing 5 2/3 innings without allowing a run.
• He has pitched to a .00 ERA this season with 9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.8 walks per nine across one games.
• The Yankees have scored 484 runs this season, which ranks first in MLB. They are batting .243 for the campaign with 155 home runs, first in the league.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• The Yankees have won 58, or 67.4%, of the 86 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• New York has a record of 29-6, a 82.9% win rate, when favored by -198 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 66.4% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• New York and its opponents have hit the over in 43 of their 91 games with a total this season.
• The Yankees are 43-48-0 against the spread this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been underdogs in 42 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (42.9%) in those contests.
• Boston has played as an underdog of +168 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 37.3% chance of pulling out a win.
• Boston and their opponents have gone over in 40 of their 92 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 92 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 50-42-0 against the spread.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Judge is the bat to watch in the Yankees lineup, leading the team in batting average (.281), home runs (33), and RBI (69).
• Of all hitters in the majors, Judge’s home run total places him first, and his RBI tally ranks him fourth.
• Anthony Rizzo is batting .223 with 15 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 42 walks.
• Rizzo is ninth in homers and 16th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• DJ LeMahieu has 13 doubles, eight home runs and 47 walks while hitting .276.
• LeMahieu is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with five walks.
• Giancarlo Stanton has six doubles, 24 home runs and 35 walks while hitting .233.
• Stanton is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with a double, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Devers leads the Red Sox with 22 home runs and 55 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .327.
• Devers ranks ninth in homers and 19th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Devers carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with a double, three home runs, a walk and four RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts is hitting .318 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 36 walks.
• Bogaerts is 150th overall in homers and 88th in RBI this season.
• Alex Verdugo is batting .262 with 19 doubles, six home runs and 22 walks.
• J.D. Martinez is batting .304 with 30 doubles, nine home runs and 31 walks.