Twins vs. Tigers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/23/2022

Seeking their 51st win of the year, the Minnesota Twins (50-44) are favorites (-168) on the moneyline when they take on the Detroit Tigers (38-56) Saturday at 6:10 PM ET. Joe Ryan starts for Minnesota while Michael Pineda is Detroit’s starter for the contest.

Twins vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Tigers

We have the Tigers on the moneyline at +144 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+144) and Over (8.5)

Twins vs. Tigers Game Info

• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Joe Ryan
• Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Michael Pineda
• Game Day: Saturday, July 23, 2022
• Game Time: 6:10 PM ET
• Location: Detroit, Michigan
• Stadium: Comerica Park

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

Twins Starter Joe Ryan

• Ryan (6-3) takes the mound for the Twins in his 15th start of the season. He’s put together a 2.99 ERA in 75 1/3 innings pitched, with 66 strikeouts.
• The right-hander’s last appearance came on Wednesday, July 13 against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he threw 5 1/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing two hits.
• In 14 games this season, the 26-year-old has a 2.99 ERA and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .209 to opposing batters.
• Ryan is looking to secure his seventh quality start of the season in this outing.
• Ryan is looking to secure his 10th start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
• He will match up with a Tigers offense that ranks 26th in MLB with 704 total hits (on a .228 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .333 (29th in MLB) with 54 total home runs (30th in MLB).
• Ryan has a 0 ERA and a 0.286 WHIP against the Tigers this season in seven innings pitched, allowing a .045 batting average over one appearance.

Tigers Starter Michael Pineda

• Pineda (2-5) will take the mound for the Tigers, his 10th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up eight earned runs and allowed nine hits in 2 2/3 innings against the Cleveland Guardians.
• The 33-year-old has pitched in nine games this season with an ERA of 5.22, a 3.333 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.361.
• In nine starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
• In nine starts this season, Pineda has lasted five or more innings six times, with an average of 4.1 innings per appearance.
• The Twins are batting .252 this season, sixth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .419 (sixth in the league) with 117 home runs.
• The Twins have gone 7-for-21 with a double, three home runs and four RBI in five innings this season against the right-hander.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have entered the game as favorites 57 times this season and won 35, or 61.4%, of those games.
• Minnesota is 13-2 this season when entering a game favored by -168 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 62.7%.
• Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 43 of their 95 games with a total this season.
• The Twins have an ATS record of 44-51-0 in 95 games with a spread this season.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Tigers have been underdogs in 75 games this season and have come away with the win 29 times (38.7%) in those contests.
• Detroit has a mark of 11-23 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +144 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 41% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Detroit and their opponents have hit the over in 34 of their 95 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 95 games with a line this season, the Tigers have a mark of 44-51-0 against the spread.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Luis Arraez leads the Twins with a team-best batting average of .338.
• Arraez is 206th in homers and 154th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Jorge Polanco has racked up 48 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Polanco ranks 44th in home runs and 41st in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Max Kepler is batting .245 with 13 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 41 walks.
• Byron Buxton has hit 23 home runs to lead his team.

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Javier Baez paces the Tigers with nine home runs and runs batted in, driving in 35.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Baez’s home run total is 105th and his RBI tally is 113th.
• Jonathan Schoop is batting .213 with 15 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 12 walks.
• Schoop is 178th overall in home runs and 193rd in RBI this season.
• Miguel Cabrera leads the Tigers with a team-high batting average of .285.
• Harold Castro is hitting .280 with 11 doubles, two triples, four home runs and nine walks.