Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/22/2022

Aaron Judge is on the brink of his 98th hit of the season for the New York Yankees (64-30) as they get set to take on the Baltimore Orioles (46-46) on Friday. The Yankees enter the matchup as -157 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 7:05 PM ET. New York’s Jameson Taillon and Baltimore’s Tyler Wells have been named the starters for this contest.

Yankees vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Orioles

We have the Orioles on the moneyline at +134 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+134) and Over (9)

Yankees vs. Orioles Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
• Game Day: Friday, July 22, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Baltimore, Maryland
• Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Jameson Taillon

• Taillon (10-2 with a 3.86 ERA and 82 strikeouts in 100 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Yankees, his 19th of the season.
• In his last time out on Saturday, the righty went 6 2/3 innings against the Boston Red Sox, giving up one earned run while surrendering two hits.
• The 30-year-old has a 3.86 ERA and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings across 18 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .256 to opposing hitters.
• Taillon enters the outing with five quality starts under his belt this year.
• Taillon will look to pitch five or more innings for his eighth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
• He meets an Orioles offense that ranks 20th in the league with 386 runs while batting .232 as a unit. It has a collective .386 slugging percentage (17th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 95 home runs (16th in MLB).
• Taillon has a 4.4 ERA and a 1.326 WHIP against the Orioles this season in 14 1/3 innings pitched, allowing a .291 batting average over three appearances.
• This season, the 30-year-old ranks 46th in ERA (3.86), 27th in WHIP (1.116), and 46th in K/9 (7.4) among qualifying pitchers.

Orioles Starter Tyler Wells

• Wells (7-5) will take the mound for the Orioles, his 19th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Tampa Bay Rays.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.38 and 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .224 in 18 games this season.
• He has started 18 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in five of them.
• In 18 starts this season, Wells has lasted five or more innings 11 times, with an average of 4.2 innings per appearance.
• The Yankees have scored 504 runs this season, which ranks first in MLB. They are batting .244 for the campaign with 160 home runs, first in the league.
• The Yankees have gone 11-for-51 with a double, a home run and four RBI in three games against the right-hander this season.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Yankees have been favored 87 times and won 59, or 67.8%, of those games.
• This season, New York has won 46 of its 66 games, or 69.7%, when favored by at least -157 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 61.1% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 94 games with a total.
• The Yankees are 45-49-0 ATS in their 94 games with a spread this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 83 games this year and have walked away with the win 39 times (47%) in those games.
• Baltimore has a win-loss record of 19-27 when favored by +134 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 42.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 41 of their 93 opportunities.
• The Orioles have posted a record of 61-32-0 against the spread this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Judge leads the Yankees with 34 home runs and 73 runs batted in.
• In all of MLB, Judge is first in home runs and third in RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo is batting .221 with 15 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 43 walks.
• Rizzo ranks ninth in home runs and 17th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• DJ LeMahieu leads the Yankees with a team-high batting average of .285.
• LeMahieu will look to build on his five-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .563 with a double, a home run, four walks and two RBI.
• Gleyber Torres is hitting .267 with 18 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 23 walks.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Cedric Mullins is batting .256 with 23 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 27 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .317.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Mullins ranks 154th in homers and 101st in RBI.
• Austin Hays has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 46 RBI.
• Hays is 65th overall in homers and 50th in RBI this year.
• Anthony Santander has been solid source of run production for the Orioles with 15 long balls and 46 runs batted in.
• Ryan Mountcastle has a team-leading 46 runs batted in.