Astros vs. Mariners Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/22/2022

by | Jul 22, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Astros vs. Mariners Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/22/2022

Ty France is on the brink of his 98th hit of the season for the Seattle Mariners (51-42) as they get set to take on the Houston Astros (61-32) on Friday. The Mariners enter the matchup as -101 underdogs on the moneyline, and action gets underway from T-Mobile Park at 10:10 PM ET. Houston’s Jose Urquidy gets the start, and he’ll go against Seattle’s Marco Gonzales.

Astros vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Astros vs Mariners Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Astros -117 -101 8.5 -105 -115 -1.5 +139 -167

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Mariners

Our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at -101 after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (-101) and Over (8.5)

Astros vs. Mariners Game Info

  • Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: José Urquidy
  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales
  • Game Day: Friday, July 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:10 PM ET
  • Location: Seattle, Washington
  • Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Urquidy Gonzales
17 GS 18
8-4 W-L 5-9
4.09 ERA 3.50
94.2 IP 100.1
20 BB 34
74 SO 53

Astros Starter José Urquidy

  • Urquidy gets the start for the Astros, his 18th of the season. He is 8-4 with a 4.09 ERA and 74 strikeouts in 94 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out came on Saturday against the Oakland Athletics, when the right-hander tossed 6 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • The 27-year-old has an ERA of 4.09, with 7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 17 games this season. Opponents are batting .261 against him.
  • Urquidy is looking for his seventh straight quality start.
  • Urquidy will look to go five or more innings for his seventh straight start. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing.
  • The opposing Mariners offense has the 15th-ranked slugging percentage (.390) and is 13th in MLB play with 103 home runs. It has a collective .236 batting average, and is 20th in MLB with 735 total hits and 22nd in MLB play scoring 385 runs.
  • Urquidy has thrown 13 innings, giving up 15 earned runs on 27 hits while striking out nine against the Mariners this season.
  • This season, the 27-year-old ranks 49th in ERA (4.09), 45th in WHIP (1.246), and 53rd in K/9 (7) among qualifying pitchers.

Mariners Starter Marco Gonzales

  • The Mariners’ Gonzales (5-9) will make his 19th start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Friday, July 15, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up five earned runs on 11 hits in a matchup with the Texas Rangers.
  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.50 and 4.8 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .265 in 18 games this season.
  • He has 11 quality starts in 18 chances this season.
  • Gonzales has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Astros rank 14th in MLB with 413 runs scored this season. They have a .239 batting average this campaign with 131 home runs (third in the league).
  • The Astros have gone 17-for-76 with four doubles, three home runs and six RBI in 20 1/3 innings this season against the left-hander.
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 30-year-old’s 3.50 ERA ranks 34th, 1.365 WHIP ranks 55th, and 4.8 K/9 ranks 63rd.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Astros have entered the game as favorites 77 times this season and won 54, or 70.1%, of those games.
  • Houston has a record of 51-21 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -117 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 53.9% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 33 of their 94 opportunities.
  • The Astros have an ATS record of 49-45-0 in 94 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have come away with 25 wins in the 55 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Seattle has a win-loss record of 19-25 when favored by -101 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 50.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Seattle and their opponents have hit the over in 44 of their 93 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Mariners have an against the spread mark of 50-43-0 in 93 games with a line this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Yordan Alvarez is the bat to watch in the Astros lineup, leading the team in batting average (.309), home runs (27), and RBI (63).
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Alvarez’s home run total places him third, and his RBI tally ranks him eighth.
  • Kyle Tucker is hitting .253 with 12 doubles, 18 home runs and 43 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Tucker is 22nd in home runs and ninth in RBI.
  • Tucker carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a home run and an RBI.
  • Alex Bregman has 20 doubles, 12 home runs and 53 walks while batting .245.
  • Bregman is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • Jose Altuve is batting .271 with 17 doubles, 17 home runs and 36 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Yordan Alvarez 77 .309 .408 .665 27 63 84
Kyle Tucker 87 .253 .343 .468 18 62 78
Alex Bregman 90 .245 .359 .420 12 49 78
Jose Altuve 76 .271 .363 .507 17 33 78
Yuli Gurriel 84 .235 .286 .386 7 26 72

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners with 16 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 52.
  • Rodriguez’s home run total puts him 32nd in MLB, and he ranks 26th in RBI.
  • France has a club-high .308 batting average.
  • France ranks 78th overall in homers and 37th in RBI this year.
  • J.P. Crawford is batting .265 with 17 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 33 walks.
  • Eugenio Suarez has swatted a team- leading 16 long balls.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Julio Rodríguez 91 .277 .339 .480 16 52 96
Ty France 79 .308 .376 .470 11 49 97
J.P. Crawford 82 .265 .345 .382 5 25 82
Eugenio Suárez 92 .239 .336 .440 16 50 81
Adam Frazier 91 .237 .297 .311 3 24 79

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