Twins vs. Tigers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/24/2022

by | Jul 24, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Twins vs. Tigers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/24/2022

The Minnesota Twins (51-44) hope to complete a two-game sweep of the Detroit Tigers (38-57) when the teams meet at 1:40 PM ET Sunday. The Twins are -176 favorites to keep the Tigers out of the win column in the series. Sonny Gray gets the starting nod for Minnesota while Rony Garcia is Detroit’s starter for the contest.

Twins vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Twins vs Tigers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Twins -176 +149 8.5 -105 -115 -1.5 -107 -113

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Tigers

Our best bet is the Tigers on the moneyline at +149 after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+149) and Over (8.5)

Twins vs. Tigers Game Info

  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Sonny Gray
  • Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Rony García
  • Game Day: Sunday, July 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • Location: Detroit, Michigan
  • Stadium: Comerica Park

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

Gray García
13 GS 0
4-3 W-L 0-0
3.71 ERA
63.0 IP 0
17 BB 0
57 SO 0

Twins Starter Sonny Gray

  • The Twins will send Gray (4-3) out for his 14th start of the season. He is 4-3 with a 3.71 ERA and 57 strikeouts through 63 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Thursday, July 14, the right-hander tossed 3 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox, giving up six earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
  • In 13 games this season, the 32-year-old has put up a 3.71 ERA and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .235 to opposing hitters.
  • Gray has four quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Gray is looking to collect his seventh start of five or more innings this season in this game.
  • The opposing Tigers offense has a collective .228 batting average, and is 26th in the league with 710 total hits and last in MLB action with 299 runs scored. It has the worst slugging percentage (.332) and ranks last in home runs (54) in all of MLB.
  • Gray has thrown seven innings without giving up an earned run on four hits, while striking out 10 against the Tigers this season.

Tigers Starter Rony García

  • The Tigers will send Garcia to the mound for his first start this season.
  • This will be the first start of the season for the 24-year-old right-hander, who has not made an appearance on the mound in over a season.
  • The Twins rank sixth in MLB with a .252 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks sixth in the league (.419) and 118 home runs.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Twins have won 36 out of the 58 games, or 62.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • This season, Minnesota has won 10 of its 12 games, or 83.3%, when favored by at least -176 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 63.8% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • Games involving Minnesota have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 44 of 96 chances this season.
  • The Twins are 45-51-0 against the spread in their 96 chances this season.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 76 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (38.2%) in those games.
  • This season, Detroit has come away with a win eight times in 30 chances when named as an underdog of at least +149 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 40.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 35 of their 96 opportunities.
  • The Tigers are 44-52-0 against the spread in their 96 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Luis Arraez paces the Twins with a team-high batting average of .342.
  • Arraez’s home runs place him 207th in MLB, and he ranks 145th in RBI.
  • Jorge Polanco has been productive as he leads his team with 48 RBI.
  • Polanco is 45th in homers and 45th in RBI in the bigs.
  • Max Kepler is batting .245 with 13 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 41 walks.
  • Byron Buxton has hit 23 home runs to pace his team.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Luis Arraez 85 .342 .414 .447 5 32 107
Jorge Polanco 76 .242 .351 .430 14 48 67
Max Kepler 84 .245 .343 .392 9 38 70
Byron Buxton 73 .216 .293 .531 23 43 59
Carlos Correa 71 .281 .354 .460 12 34 77

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Javier Baez paces the Tigers in home runs (nine) and runs batted in (36).
  • Baez ranks 109th in home runs and 109th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Jonathan Schoop has 15 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 12 walks while batting .211.
  • Schoop is 183rd among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 196th in RBI.
  • Harold Castro has 11 doubles, two triples, four home runs and nine walks while hitting .284.
  • Miguel Cabrera leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .284.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Javier Báez 81 .221 .262 .378 9 36 69
Jonathan Schoop 91 .211 .242 .313 6 25 72
Miguel Cabrera 81 .284 .325 .342 3 35 83
Harold Castro 63 .284 .315 .417 4 20 58
Jeimer Candelario 73 .195 .263 .323 7 24 49

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