Dodgers vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/25/2022

by | Jul 25, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Dodgers vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/25/2022

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Monday when the Los Angeles Dodgers (64-30) and Washington Nationals (32-65) take to the field at 10:10 PM ET. Freddie Freeman is batting .325 for the Dodgers (-260 favorites on the moneyline) while Josh Bell leads the underdog Nationals (+220) with a .308 average. Los Angeles’ Tony Gonsolin gets the start, and he’ll go against Washington’s Paolo Espino.

Dodgers vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Dodgers vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Dodgers -260 +220 8.5 -115 -105 -1.5 -125 +105

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Nationals

After analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +220. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+220) and Over (8.5)

Dodgers vs. Nationals Game Info

  • Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Tony Gonsolin
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Paolo Espino
  • Game Day: Monday, July 25, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:10 PM ET
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Stadium: Dodger Stadium

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Gonsolin Espino
17 GS 7
11-0 W-L 0-3
2.02 ERA 3.57
93.2 IP 58.0
24 BB 12
86 SO 46

Dodgers Starter Tony Gonsolin

  • Gonsolin (11-0 with a 2.02 ERA and 86 strikeouts in 93 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Dodgers, his 18th of the season.
  • His last time out came on Wednesday, July 13 against the St. Louis Cardinals, when the right-hander went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 2.02, with 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in 17 games this season. Opponents are batting .168 against him.
  • Gonsolin has nine quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Gonsolin will try to last five or more innings for his 14th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing.
  • He will take the mound against a Nationals offense that ranks 12th in MLB with 796 total hits (on a .246 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .371 (27th in MLB) with 75 total home runs (28th in MLB).

Nationals Starter Paolo Espino

  • The Nationals will hand the ball to Espino (0-3) for his eighth start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in 5 1/3 innings pitched against the Atlanta Braves on Saturday, July 16.
  • The 35-year-old has pitched to a 3.57 ERA this season with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.9 walks per nine across 27 games.
  • Espino has not earned a quality start in seven starts this season.
  • Espino has made three starts of five or more innings in seven chances this season, and averages 2.0 frames when he pitches.
  • The Dodgers are batting .256 this season, third in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .441 (third in the league) with 123 home runs.
  • The right-hander has allowed the Dodgers to go 1-for-10 in three innings this season.

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Dodgers have won 67, or 68.4%, of the 98 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 11-5 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -260 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 72.2% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 40 of their 100 chances.
  • The Dodgers are 59-41-0 ATS in their 100 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have come away with 25 wins in the 81 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Washington has been listed as an underdog of +220 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 31.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 48 of their 97 opportunities.
  • The Nationals are 41-56-0 against the spread in their 97 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Freeman has accumulated a team-best batting average of .325.
  • In all of the majors, Freeman ranks 40th in homers and 12th in RBI.
  • Freeman brings a hitting streak of 12 games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is batting .579 with six doubles, five home runs, five walks and 10 RBI.
  • Trea Turner’s 70 runs batted in lead his team.
  • Turner ranks 40th in home runs in MLB, and fifth in RBI.
  • Turner carries an 11-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 games he is hitting .341 with a double, four home runs, a walk and 10 RBI.
  • Mookie Betts has launched a team-high 22 home runs.
  • Betts has at least one base hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with two home runs, a walk and four RBI.
  • Will Smith has 14 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 38 walks while batting .266.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Freddie Freeman 94 .325 .402 .545 15 62 120
Trea Turner 94 .304 .350 .493 15 70 116
Mookie Betts 77 .273 .347 .537 22 51 86
Will Smith 80 .266 .360 .469 14 47 76
Justin Turner 85 .253 .328 .403 8 53 78

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Juan Soto paces the Nationals with 20 long balls.
  • Soto’s home run total puts him 16th in the big leagues, and he ranks 68th in RBI.
  • Bell has 51 RBI while batting .308. Both lead his team.
  • Bell is currently 57th in homers and 33rd in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Nelson Cruz has 13 doubles, eight home runs and 37 walks while hitting .234.
  • Cesar Hernandez is batting .239 with 20 doubles, two triples and 30 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Juan Soto 94 .239 .397 .478 20 43 77
Josh Bell 96 .308 .390 .499 13 51 108
Nelson Cruz 87 .234 .318 .349 8 48 75
César Hernández 96 .239 .301 .303 0 20 91
Keibert Ruiz 75 .252 .313 .350 3 22 69

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