Red Sox vs. Guardians Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/26/2022

The Cleveland Guardians (48-47) hope to avoid their fourth straight defeat when they visit the Boston Red Sox (49-48) Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET. The Red Sox are listed as -155 favorites, while the Guardians are +135 underdogs as they try to snap their losing skid. Josh Winckowski takes the mound for Boston while Bryan Shaw is Cleveland’s starter for the contest.

Red Sox vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Guardians

We have the Guardians on the moneyline at +135 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 10 runs.

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+135) and Under (10)

Red Sox vs. Guardians Game Info

• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Josh Winckowski
• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Bryan Shaw
• Game Day: Tuesday, July 26, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Red Sox Starter Josh Winckowski

• Winckowski will start for the Red Sox, his first this season.
• It’s the first appearance this season for the 24-year-old righty, and his first outing in more than a year.
• The Guardians have scored 414 total runs this season, making them MLB’s 18th-ranked scoring offense on the season so far. As a team they have a .252 batting average while hitting 74 home runs (29th in the league).

Guardians Starter Bryan Shaw

• Shaw will make his first start of the season for the Guardians.
• The 34-year-old righty will start for the first time this year after coming out of the bullpen 39 times.
• He has pitched to a 5.56 ERA this season with 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.2 walks per nine across 39 games.
• The Red Sox rank 10th in MLB with 443 runs scored this season. They have a .255 batting average this campaign with 97 home runs (16th in the league).

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have won 31, or 60.8%, of the 51 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Boston has a record of 11-7, a 61.1% win rate, when favored by -155 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The Red Sox have a 60.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Boston’s games have gone over the total in 43 of their 97 chances.
• The Red Sox have an ATS record of 51-46-0 in 97 games with a spread this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have won in 23, or 41.8%, of the 55 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Cleveland has been victorious nine times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +135 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 42.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 47 of their 103 opportunities.
• The Guardians are 54-49-0 against the spread in their 103 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Xander Bogaerts is batting .312 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 36 walks.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Bogaerts is 162nd in home runs and 100th in RBI.
• Bogaerts brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .188 with an RBI.
• Alex Verdugo is hitting .265 with 20 doubles, six home runs and 22 walks.
• Verdugo ranks 186th in home runs and 41st in RBI on the year.
• Verdugo carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a double and two RBI.
• J.D. Martinez is hitting .302 with 30 doubles, nine home runs and 31 walks.
• Christian Vazquez is batting .277 with 18 doubles, eight home runs and 16 walks.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 19 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 79.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Ramirez’s home run total ranks 20th and his RBI tally ranks third.
• Ramirez takes a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with two doubles, two home runs and nine RBI.
• Amed Rosario is batting .294 with 18 doubles, six triples, four home runs and 19 walks.
• Rosario is 251st in home runs and 149th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Steven Kwan is hitting .290 with 14 doubles, three triples, two home runs and 33 walks.
• Josh Naylor has 14 doubles, 13 home runs and 19 walks while hitting .278.