Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/26/2022

Austin Riley seeks to extend his 17-game hitting streak as the Atlanta Braves (58-40) take on the Philadelphia Phillies (50-46) and Alec Bohm, who has a 10-game hit streak of his own. The Braves are listed as -120 favorites on the moneyline for the contest, which starts at 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday, live from Citizens Bank Park. Spencer Strider will get the ball for Atlanta while Philadelphia counter with Aaron Nola.

Braves vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Phillies

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Phillies on the moneyline at +102. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+102) and Over (7.5)

Braves vs. Phillies Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
• Game Day: Tuesday, July 26, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Spencer Strider

• Strider (4-3 with a 3.27 ERA and 114 strikeouts in 74 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Braves, his 11th of the season.
• In his most recent appearance on Sunday, July 17, the right-hander tossed 4 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals, giving up five earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• In 21 games this season, the 23-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.27, with 13.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .180 against him.
• Strider has three quality starts this season.
• Strider is looking to collect his sixth start of five or more innings this season in this game.
• He will match up with a Phillies squad that is hitting .245 as a unit (13th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .415 (seventh in MLB) with 124 total home runs (fifth in MLB).
• Strider has pitched 2 2/3 innings without giving up a hit or an earned run while striking out five against the Phillies this season.

Phillies Starter Aaron Nola

• The Phillies will send Nola (6-7) to the mound for his 20th start this season.
• The right-hander did not allow a run in 8 1/3 innings pitched on Sunday, July 17 in his last outing, a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.13 and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .211 in 19 games this season.
• He has started 19 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in 11 of them.
• Nola has 17 starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Braves have scored 466 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB. They are batting .248 for the campaign with 151 home runs, second in the league.
• The Braves have gone 12-for-58 with two doubles, two home runs and five RBI in two games against the right-hander this season.
• The 29-year-old ranks 27th in ERA (3.13), fourth in WHIP (.900), and 11th in K/9 (9.7) among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Braves have been favored 75 times and won 49, or 65.3%, of those games.
• Atlanta is 48-23 this season when entering a game favored by -120 or more on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 54.5% chance to win.
• Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 49 of their 97 opportunities.
• The Braves are 48-49-0 against the spread in their 97 chances this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 37 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (48.6%) in those games.
• Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 16-13 when favored by +102 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 50 of their 96 opportunities.
• The Phillies are 51-45-0 against the spread in their 96 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Not only does Riley lead the Braves in hitting with his .292 average, he also paces the squad with 28 home runs and 63 RBI.
• Among all batters in the majors, Riley’s home run total places him third, and his RBI tally ranks him ninth.
• Riley brings a hitting streak of 17 games into this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .400 with four doubles, four home runs, two walks and six RBI.
• Matt Olson has collected 63 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Including all MLB hitters, Olson ranks 24th in home runs and ninth in RBI.
• Dansby Swanson is batting .287 with 20 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 31 walks.
• Marcell Ozuna has 12 doubles, 18 home runs and 26 walks while batting .225.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber has put up a team-high 30 home runs and has driven in 59 runs.
• Schwarber is second in home runs and 15th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .241 with 18 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 46 walks.
• Hoskins ranks 20th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 63rd in RBI.
• J.T. Realmuto has 14 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 26 walks while hitting .253.
• Bohm leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .287.