Red Sox vs. Guardians Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/27/2022

The Boston Red Sox will look to pick up their 50th win of the season when they take on the Cleveland Guardians (49-47) Wednesday. The game begins at 7:10 PM ET, with the Red Sox listed as -133 favorites on the moneyline. Boston’s Nathan Eovaldi gets the start, and he’ll go against Cleveland’s Cal Quantrill.

Red Sox vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Guardians

After digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Guardians on the moneyline at +112. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+112) and Over (9)

Red Sox vs. Guardians Game Info

• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill
• Game Day: Wednesday, July 27, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Red Sox Starter Nathan Eovaldi

• Eovaldi gets the start for the Red Sox, his 15th of the season. He is 4-3 with a 4.30 ERA and 79 strikeouts in 75 1/3 innings pitched.
• The righty last pitched on Friday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he tossed 2 2/3 innings, allowing nine earned runs while giving up eight hits.
• In 14 games this season, the 32-year-old has amassed a 4.30 ERA and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .263 to his opponents.
• Eovaldi is trying to pick up his seventh quality start of the season.
• Eovaldi has put up 10 starts this year in which he pitched five or more innings.
• He meets a Guardians offense that ranks 17th in the league with 422 runs while batting .253 as a unit. It has a collective .388 slugging percentage (17th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 76 home runs (29th in MLB).

Guardians Starter Cal Quantrill

• The Guardians will hand the ball to Quantrill (7-5) for his 19th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.75 and 5.7 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .267 in 18 games this season.
• In 18 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in 10 of them.
• Quantrill will look to pitch five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
• The Red Sox rank fourth in MLB with a .255 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks ninth in the league (.410) and 97 home runs.
• The Red Sox have gone 5-for-18 with a double, a home run and two RBI in five innings this season against the right-hander.
• Among qualified pitchers in the majors this season, the 27-year-old ranks 40th in ERA (3.75), 50th in WHIP (1.306), and 62nd in K/9 (5.7).

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been favorites in 52 games this season and won 31 (59.6%) of those contests.
• This season, Boston has won 17 of its 31 games, or 54.8%, when favored by at least -133 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 57.1% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
• Games involving Boston have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 44 of 98 chances this season.
• The Red Sox have an ATS record of 51-47-0 in 98 games with a spread this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 56 games this year and have walked away with the win 24 times (42.9%) in those games.
• This year, Cleveland has won 17 of 39 games when listed as at least +112 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 47.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 48 of their 104 opportunities.
• The Guardians have an against the spread record of 55-49-0 in 104 games with a line this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Xander Bogaerts has 26 doubles, seven home runs and 36 walks while hitting .317.
• Bogaerts’ home runs rank him 163rd in the majors, and he is 90th in RBI.
• Bogaerts carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .333 with two doubles and two RBI.
• Alex Verdugo has 20 doubles, six home runs and 22 walks while hitting .262.
• Verdugo ranks 184th in homers and 42nd in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• J.D. Martinez has 30 doubles, nine home runs and 31 walks while hitting .299.
• Christian Vazquez is batting .277 with 18 doubles, eight home runs and 17 walks.
• Vazquez has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with two home runs, two walks and four RBI.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez has posted a team-high 19 home runs and has driven in 79 runs.
• In all of the big leagues, Ramirez is 19th in homers and third in RBI.
• Ramirez takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two doubles, two walks and four RBI.
• Amed Rosario is hitting .295 with 18 doubles, six triples, four home runs and 19 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Rosario ranks 248th in homers and 138th in RBI.
• Steven Kwan is batting .295 with 14 doubles, three triples, two home runs and 33 walks.
• Josh Naylor is batting .280 with 15 doubles, 13 home runs and 19 walks.