Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/27/2022

Austin Riley seeks to extend his 18-game hitting streak as the Atlanta Braves (59-40) take on the Philadelphia Phillies (50-47) and Alec Bohm, who has an 11-game hit streak of his own. The Braves are listed as -155 favorites on the moneyline for the contest, which starts at 12:35 PM ET on Wednesday, live from Citizens Bank Park. Atlanta’s Charlie Morton gets the start, and he’ll go against Philadelphia’s Kyle Gibson.

Braves vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Phillies

We have the Phillies on the moneyline at +131 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+131) and Over (8.5)

Braves vs. Phillies Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Charlie Morton
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
• Game Day: Wednesday, July 27, 2022
• Game Time: 12:35 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Charlie Morton

• Morton (5-4) takes the mound for the Braves in his 20th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.20 ERA in 105 innings pitched, with 121 strikeouts.
• His most recent appearance came on Friday against the Los Angeles Angels, when the right-hander tossed 6 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing two hits.
• The 38-year-old has an ERA of 4.20, with 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in 19 games this season. Opponents are batting .227 against him.
• Morton has six quality starts under his belt this season.
• Morton is seeking his 11th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Phillies offense has the seventh-ranked slugging percentage (.414) and ranks sixth in MLB play with 126 home runs. It has a collective .245 batting average, and is 16th in MLB with 804 total hits and 10th in MLB play scoring 447 runs.
• Morton has thrown 10 innings, giving up six earned runs on 16 hits while striking out nine against the Phillies this season.
• The 38-year-old’s 4.20 ERA ranks 50th, 1.219 WHIP ranks 40th, and 10.4 K/9 ranks eighth among qualifying pitchers this season.

Phillies Starter Kyle Gibson

• Gibson (5-4) will take to the mound for the Phillies and make his 20th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw 4 1/3 innings against the Chicago Cubs, giving up six earned runs while allowing six hits.
• The 34-year-old has an ERA of 4.69, a 2.759 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.239 in 19 games this season.
• He has nine quality starts in 19 chances this season.
• Gibson has 12 starts of five or more innings this season in 19 chances. He averages 5.1 innings per outing.
• The Braves rank fourth in MLB with 472 runs scored this season. They have a .248 batting average this campaign with 153 home runs (second in the league).
• The Braves have gone 7-for-21 with two RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.
• Among qualified pitchers this season, the 34-year-old’s 4.69 ERA ranks 58th, 1.239 WHIP ranks 43rd, and 7.1 K/9 ranks 51st.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have entered the game as favorites 76 times this season and won 50, or 65.8%, of those games.
• Atlanta has a record of 31-16, a 66% win rate, when favored by -155 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 60.8% chance to win.
• Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 50 of 98 chances this season.
• The Braves are 49-49-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been victorious in 18, or 47.4%, of the 38 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Philadelphia has been victorious eight times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +131 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 43.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Philadelphia and their opponents have gone over in 51 of their 97 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Phillies are 51-46-0 against the spread in their 97 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Braves leader in both batting average and long balls is Riley, who comes into the matchup hitting .295 and has left the yard 28 times while driving in 64 runs this season.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Riley is third in home runs and ninth in RBI.
• Riley has collected a hit in 18 games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .436 with six doubles, four home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
• Matt Olson’s 65 runs batted in lead his team.
• Olson is 19th in homers and eighth in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Dansby Swanson is batting .291 with 21 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 31 walks.
• Marcell Ozuna has 12 doubles, 18 home runs and 26 walks while hitting .223.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 31 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 60.
• Schwarber is second in home runs and 15th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .242 with 18 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 46 walks.
• Hoskins ranks 19th in home runs and 63rd in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• J.T. Realmuto is batting .254 with 14 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 27 walks.
• Bohm leads the Phillies with a .290 batting average.