Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/28/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (51-47) will meet the Pittsburgh Pirates (40-58) on Thursday at 7:05 PM ET. Alec Bohm will be looking for his 99th hit of the season for the favored Phillies (-206) when the game gets underway at PNC Park. Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler and Pittsburgh’s Zach Thompson have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Pirates

We have the Pirates on the moneyline at +172 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+172) and Over (7.5)

Phillies vs. Pirates Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Zach Thompson
• Game Day: Thursday, July 28, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: PNC Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Zack Wheeler

• Wheeler makes the start for the Phillies, his 19th of the season. He is 8-5 with a 2.78 ERA and 114 strikeouts in 106 2/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent time out was on Saturday against the Chicago Cubs, when the righty tossed 7 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up three hits.
• The 32-year-old has an ERA of 2.78, with 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opponents are hitting .224 against him.
• Wheeler is trying to secure his 13th quality start of the year.
• Wheeler has put together 14 starts this season in which he pitched five or more innings.
• He will face off against a Pirates offense that ranks 29th in MLB with 706 total hits (on a .220 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .365 (28th in MLB) with 100 total home runs (15th in MLB).
• The 32-year-old’s 2.78 ERA ranks 15th, 1.041 WHIP ranks 17th, and 9.6 K/9 ranks 14th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Pirates Starter Zach Thompson

• The Pirates will hand the ball to Thompson (3-7) for his 17th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up seven earned runs and allowed nine hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Miami Marlins.
• The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.64, a 1.594 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.441 in 17 games this season.
• In 16 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in two of them.
• Thompson has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Phillies are batting .245 this season, 14th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .414 (seventh in the league) with 126 home runs.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 59 times and won 32, or 54.2%, of those games.
• Philadelphia is 4-2 this season when entering a game favored by -206 or more on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have a 67.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 51 of their 98 games with a total this season.
• In 98 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 52-46-0 ATS.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 82 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (37.8%) in those games.
• Pittsburgh has a mark of 8-16 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +172 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 36.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 40 of their 99 opportunities.
• The Pirates are 51-48-0 against the spread in their 99 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber has gone yard 31 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 61 runs, both totals that lead the Phillies.
• Schwarber ranks second in home runs and 14th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .242 with 18 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 47 walks.
• Hoskins ranks 21st in home runs and 63rd in RBI on the year.
• Hoskins has two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a walk and an RBI.
• J.T. Realmuto has 14 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 27 walks while batting .257.
• Realmuto has at least one base hit in nine games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .400 with three doubles, two home runs, four walks and nine RBI.
• Bohm’s .293 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Bohm has recorded at least one hit in 12 straight games. During his last 10 games he is hitting .472 with three doubles, two walks and six RBI.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates with 15 home runs and 32 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .254.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Reynolds ranks 39th in homers and 158th in RBI.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes is batting .251 with 17 doubles, three triples, four home runs and 35 walks.
• Hayes ranks 249th overall in homers and 183rd in RBI this year.
• Michael Chavis has racked up a team-high 32 runs batted in.
• Ben Gamel has 12 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 27 walks while hitting .245.