Braves vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/29/2022

The Atlanta Braves (59-41) will play the Arizona Diamondbacks (45-53) on Friday at 7:20 PM ET. Matt Olson will be looking for his 98th hit of the season for the favored Braves (-225) when the game gets underway at Truist Park. Atlanta’s Kyle Wright gets the start, and he’ll go against Arizona’s Madison Bumgarner.

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Diamondbacks

After looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +190. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+190) and Over (9)

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Kyle Wright
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner
• Game Day: Friday, July 29, 2022
• Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Kyle Wright

• Wright (12-4) takes the mound for the Braves in his 20th start of the season. He’s put together a 2.95 ERA in 116 innings pitched, with 115 strikeouts.
• In his last time out on Saturday against the Los Angeles Angels, the righty went six innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 2.95, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 19 games this season. Opponents are hitting .233 against him.
• Wright is looking for his fourth straight quality start.
• Wright will look to build upon a four-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.0 frames per outing).
• He will match up with a Diamondbacks offense that ranks 28th in MLB with 727 total hits (on a .225 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .387 (18th in MLB) with 112 total home runs (11th in MLB).
• Wright has thrown six innings without giving up an earned run on three hits, while striking out five against the Diamondbacks this season.
• The 26-year-old’s 2.95 ERA ranks 19th, 1.155 WHIP ranks 34th, and 8.9 K/9 ranks 23rd among qualifying pitchers this season.

Diamondbacks Starter Madison Bumgarner

• Bumgarner (6-9) will take the mound for the Diamondbacks, his 21st start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw eight innings against the Washington Nationals, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits.
• The 32-year-old has an ERA of 3.71 and 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .258 in 20 games this season.
• In 20 starts this season, he’s earned five quality starts.
• Bumgarner has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Braves have scored 474 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB. They have 842 hits, sixth in baseball, with 154 home runs (second in the league).
• The left-hander has faced the Braves one time this season, allowing them to go 7-for-25 with five doubles and two RBI in six innings.
• Among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign, the 32-year-old ranks 38th in ERA (3.71), 51st in WHIP (1.332), and 55th in K/9 (6.7).

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Braves have been favored 77 times and won 50, or 64.9%, of those games.
• Atlanta has a record of 12-3 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -225 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 69.2%.
• Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 50 of their 99 chances.
• The Braves are 49-50-0 ATS in their 99 games with a spread this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 79 games this season and have come away with the win 35 times (44.3%) in those contests.
• This season, Arizona has been a moneyline underdog of -225 or better five times, losing every contest.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 34.5% chance of pulling out a win.
• Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 47 of their 103 opportunities.
• The Diamondbacks are 59-44-0 against the spread in their 103 games that had a posted line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley paces the Braves with 28 home runs while putting up a team-high batting average of .292.
• Among all batters in baseball, Riley’s home run total places him fourth, and his RBI tally puts him ninth.
• Olson’s 67 runs batted in lead his team.
• Olson is 17th in homers and sixth in RBI in the major leagues.
• Olson has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .176 with a double, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
• Dansby Swanson has racked up a team-high batting average of .292.
• Swanson is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
• Marcell Ozuna is batting .223 with 12 doubles, 18 home runs and 26 walks.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker paces the Diamondbacks with 23 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 52.
• Walker’s home run total places him ninth in the majors, and he ranks 34th in RBI.
• Ketel Marte is hitting .270 to lead the lineup.
• Among all major league batters, Marte is 98th in homers and 118th in RBI.
• Daulton Varsho is hitting .233 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 29 walks.
• Josh Rojas is batting .287 with 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 28 walks.