Astros vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/1/2022

The Houston Astros (67-36) will meet the Boston Red Sox (51-52) on Monday at 8:10 PM ET. J.D. Martinez will be looking for his 99th hit of the season for the underdog Red Sox (+159) when the game gets underway at Minute Maid Park. Luis Garcia will get the ball for Houston while Boston counter with Nathan Eovaldi.

Astros vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Red Sox

We have the Red Sox on the moneyline at +159 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+159) and Over (8)

Astros vs. Red Sox Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Luis Garcia
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
• Game Day: Monday, August 1, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Houston, Texas
• Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Astros Starter Luis Garcia

• Garcia makes the start for the Astros, his 19th of the season. He is 8-6 with a 3.71 ERA and 107 strikeouts in 99 1/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent time out was on Wednesday against the Oakland Athletics, when the righty threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up four hits.
• The 25-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.71, with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opponents are batting .203 against him.
• Garcia has six quality starts under his belt this year.
• Garcia will try to prolong an eight-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per appearance).
• The opposing Red Sox offense has a collective .255 batting average, and is third in the league with 906 total hits and ninth in MLB play with 468 runs scored. It has the ninth-ranked slugging percentage (.410) and ranks 18th in home runs (100) in all of MLB.
• Garcia has pitched four innings, giving up three earned runs on five hits while striking out four against the Red Sox this season.

Red Sox Starter Nathan Eovaldi

• The Red Sox’s Eovaldi (4-3) will make his 16th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Cleveland Guardians, giving up three earned runs while allowing nine hits.
• The 32-year-old has an ERA of 4.32 and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .268 in 15 games this season.
• He has started 15 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in seven of them.
• In 15 starts, Eovaldi has pitched through or past the fifth inning 11 times. He has a season average of 5.1 frames per outing.
• The Astros have scored 461 runs this season, which ranks 12th in MLB. They have 821 hits, 18th in baseball, with 146 home runs (third in the league).
• This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Astros in one game, and they have gone 8-for-14 with a double, five home runs and six RBI over 1 2/3 innings.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• The Astros have won 60, or 69%, of the 87 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Houston has a record of 18-11 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -188 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 65.3% chance to win.
• Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 38 of 104 chances this season.
• The Astros have an ATS record of 54-50-0 in 104 games with a spread this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been underdogs in 50 games this season and have come away with the win 20 times (40%) in those contests.
• Boston has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +159 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 38.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of their 103 opportunities.
• The Red Sox are 53-50-0 against the spread in their 103 games that had a posted line this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yordan Alvarez is the bat to watch in the Astros lineup, leading the team in batting average (.310), home runs (30), and RBI (70).
• Including all MLB hitters, Alvarez ranks ninth in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and second in slugging.
• Kyle Tucker is hitting .242 with 14 doubles, 19 home runs and 45 walks.
• Tucker is 26th in homers and 13th in RBI in the bigs.
• Alex Bregman has 25 doubles, 13 home runs and 55 walks while hitting .242.
• Jose Altuve has 19 doubles, 19 home runs and 39 walks while batting .273.
• Altuve takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with two doubles, three walks and an RBI.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Xander Bogaerts is batting .316 with 28 doubles, eight home runs and 41 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .392.
• In all of the big leagues, Bogaerts is 147th in home runs and 75th in RBI.
• Bogaerts has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .294 with two doubles, a home run, five walks and six RBI.
• Alex Verdugo is hitting .269 with 22 doubles, six home runs and 22 walks.
• Verdugo ranks 195th in home runs and 40th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Martinez has 32 doubles, nine home runs and 32 walks while batting .288.
• Christian Vazquez has 20 doubles, eight home runs and 18 walks while batting .282.