Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/3/2022

The New York Yankees (70-35) host the Seattle Mariners (56-49) at 1:05 PM ET Wednesday in a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. Andrew Benintendi is batting .308 this year (10th in the league) for the favored Yankees (-189), while Ty France ranks 10th in the majors with a .308 average for the underdog Mariners. Gerrit Cole gets the starting nod for New York while Luis Castillo is Seattle’s starter for the contest.

Yankees vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Mariners

We have the Mariners on the moneyline at +160 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (+160) and Over (7.5)

Yankees vs. Mariners Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
• Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
• Game Day: Wednesday, August 3, 2022
• Game Time: 1:05 PM ET
• Location: The Bronx, New York
• Stadium: Yankee Stadium

New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Gerrit Cole

• Cole (9-3 with a 3.30 ERA and 162 strikeouts in 125 1/3 innings pitched) aims for his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Yankees, his 22nd of the season.
• The right-hander’s most recent appearance was on Friday against the Kansas City Royals, when he went 6 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up seven hits.
• In 21 games this season, the 31-year-old has a 3.30 ERA and 11.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .209 to opposing hitters.
• Cole heads into this outing with 14 quality starts under his belt this season.
• Cole will try to pitch five or more innings for his 10th straight start. He’s averaging 5.3 innings per outing.
• He will face a Mariners offense that ranks 24th in MLB with 815 total hits (on a .233 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .385 (20th in MLB) with 115 total home runs (13th in MLB).
• The 31-year-old’s 3.30 ERA ranks 27th, 1.029 WHIP ranks 14th, and 11.6 K/9 ranks third among qualifying pitchers this season.

Mariners Starter Luis Castillo

• The Mariners’ Castillo (4-4) will make his 15th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs in 7 2/3 innings during his last outing, which came on Wednesday for the Cincinnati Reds against the Miami Marlins.
• The 29-year-old has pitched in 14 games this season with an ERA of 2.86 and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .201.
• If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his sixth quality start in a row.
• Castillo has pitched five or more innings in 13 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Yankees have scored 564 runs this season, which ranks first in MLB. They are batting .246 for the campaign with 184 home runs, first in the league.
• The Yankees have gone 2-for-23 with a double and an RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• The Yankees have won 65, or 67%, of the 97 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• New York has a record of 35-11 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -189 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 65.4%.
• Games involving New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 52 of 105 chances this season.
• In 105 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 50-55-0 ATS.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mariners have come away with 28 wins in the 65 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Seattle has come away with a win four times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +160 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 38.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Seattle and their opponents have hit the over in 49 of their 105 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Mariners are 54-51-0 against the spread in their 105 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Aaron Judge has gone yard 43 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 93 runs, both totals that lead the Yankees.
• Among all batters in the majors, Judge is first in home runs and first in RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo is batting .230 with 16 doubles, a triple, 27 home runs and 48 walks.
• Rizzo is fifth in homers and 12th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Rizzo enters this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .353 with four home runs, four walks and eight RBI.
• DJ LeMahieu is hitting .292 with 16 doubles, 11 home runs and 56 walks.
• LeMahieu will look to build on his four-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .455 with a double, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
• Benintendi has a club-leading .308 batting average.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

• France paces the Mariners with a team-leading batting average of .308.
• France is 68th in home runs and 44th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• France carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with a double, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
• J.P. Crawford is batting .259 with 19 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 36 walks.
• Crawford is 218th in home runs and 200th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Adam Frazier is batting .247 with 14 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 34 walks.
• Eugenio Suarez is hitting .234 with 19 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 53 walks.