Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/2/2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (57-45) will look to Hunter Renfroe, red hot after a four-hit game, to lead them in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates (40-62) on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET. The Brewers are -210 favorites for the contest, according to bookmakers. Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes and Pittsburgh’s Bryse Wilson have been named the starters for this contest.

Brewers vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Pirates

After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +180. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+180) and Over (8)

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 2, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: PNC Park

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Corbin Burnes

• The Brewers are sending Burnes (8-4) to the mound to make his 21st start of the season. He is 8-4 with a 2.31 ERA and 160 strikeouts through 124 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his last outing on Wednesday against the Minnesota Twins, the righty tossed 6 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• The 27-year-old has amassed a 2.31 ERA and 11.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 20 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .187 to opposing hitters.
• Burnes heads into the matchup with 15 quality starts under his belt this season.
• Burnes will look to build on a nine-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per appearance).
• He will face off against a Pirates offense that ranks 29th in MLB with 733 total hits (on a .219 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .363 (28th in MLB) with 103 total home runs (16th in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Pirates this season, Burnes has pitched 13 innings, giving up three earned runs on five hits while striking out 15.
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 27-year-old ranks fifth in ERA (2.31), fourth in WHIP (.922), and third in K/9 (11.6).

Pirates Starter Bryse Wilson

• The Pirates will hand the ball to Wilson (1-6) for his 11th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
• The 24-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with an ERA of 6.31 and 6.5 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .314.
• He has three quality starts in 10 chances this season.
• Wilson has started 10 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings five times. He averages 4.1 innings per appearance.
• The Brewers rank 17th in MLB with a .240 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks seventh in the league (.417) and 140 home runs.
• This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Brewers in two games, and they have gone 9-for-36 with two doubles, a home run and two RBI over 10 innings.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Brewers have been favored 80 times and won 46, or 57.5%, of those games.
• Milwaukee is 12-5 this season when entering a game favored by -210 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 67.7%.
• Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 52 of their 102 chances.
• In 102 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 44-58-0 ATS.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have won in 31, or 36%, of the 86 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious eight times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +180 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 35.7% chance of walking away with the win.
• Pittsburgh and their opponents have gone over in 42 of their 103 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Pirates have posted a record of 53-50-0 against the spread this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez is the Brewers best power hitter, hitting 20 long balls this season in addition to accumulating 65 RBI, both team highs.
• Including all MLB batters, Tellez is 118th in batting average, 104th in on-base percentage, and 41st in slugging.
• Christian Yelich has a club-best .261 batting average.
• Yelich ranks 147th in home runs and 142nd in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Yelich has 10 straight games with at least one hit. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .366 with five doubles, a triple, nine walks and four RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .257 with 17 doubles, 10 home runs and 32 walks.
• McCutchen has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .286 with two doubles, three walks and an RBI.
• Willy Adames has hit 20 home runs to lead his team.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 15 home runs and 32 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .251.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Reynolds’ home run total is 43rd and his RBI tally ranks 166th.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has 17 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 37 walks while batting .246.
• Hayes ranks 216th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 183rd in RBI.
• Michael Chavis has racked up a team-high 32 runs batted in.
• Ben Gamel is hitting .234 with 12 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 28 walks.