Brewers vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/5/2022

by | Aug 4, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Brewers vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/5/2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (57-48) will play the Cincinnati Reds (42-62) on Friday at 8:10 PM ET. Christian Yelich will be looking for his 99th hit of the season for the favored Brewers (-202) when the game gets underway at American Family Field. Eric Lauer gets the starting nod for Milwaukee while Robert Dugger is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

Brewers vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Brewers vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Brewers -202 +170 9 -115 -105 -1.5 +108 -128

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +170 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+170) and Over (9)

Brewers vs. Reds Game Info

  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Eric Lauer
  • Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Robert Dugger
  • Game Day: Friday, August 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Lauer Dugger
19 GS 0
7-3 W-L 0-0
3.75 ERA
105.2 IP 0
37 BB 0
107 SO 0

Brewers Starter Eric Lauer

  • Lauer (7-3 with a 3.75 ERA and 107 strikeouts in 105 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Brewers, his 20th of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Saturday, the lefty tossed five innings against the Boston Red Sox, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
  • The 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.75, with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 19 games this season. Opponents have a .230 batting average against him.
  • Lauer enters this game with eight quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Lauer is trying to pick up his 16th start of five or more innings this year in this game.
  • He will take the hill against a Reds squad that is hitting .240 as a unit (19th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .379 (22nd in MLB) with 98 total home runs (20th in MLB).
  • Lauer has pitched 6 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits while striking out five against the Reds this season.
  • The 27-year-old ranks 37th in ERA (3.75), 40th in WHIP (1.211), and 15th in K/9 (9.1) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Reds Starter Robert Dugger

  • Dugger will make his first start of the season for the Reds.
  • The right-hander is making his first start of the year. The 27-year-old did not make an appearance on the mound last season.
  • The Brewers rank 17th in MLB with a .241 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks sixth in the league (.419) and 145 home runs.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 83 times this season and won 46, or 55.4%, of those games.
  • Milwaukee is 14-8 this season when entering a game favored by -202 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 66.9% chance to win.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 55 of their 105 opportunities.
  • The Brewers are 44-61-0 against the spread in their 105 chances this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 81 games this year and have walked away with the win 32 times (39.5%) in those games.
  • Cincinnati has a mark of 5-16 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +170 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 37% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 54 of 106 chances this season.
  • In 106 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 51-55-0 against the spread.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rowdy Tellez leads the Brewers in home runs (21) and runs batted in (68).
  • Among all batters in baseball, Tellez ranks 17th in home runs and ninth in RBI.
  • Tellez carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .471 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and four RBI.
  • Yelich is hitting .261 to pace his team.
  • Yelich ranks 152nd in homers and 148th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Willy Adames paces the Brewers with 21 home runs.
  • Adames has at least one base hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .261 with three doubles, a home run and six RBI.
  • Andrew McCutchen is hitting .254 with 19 doubles, 10 home runs and 35 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rowdy Tellez 100 .239 .322 .476 21 68 84
Christian Yelich 100 .261 .361 .391 8 35 98
Willy Adames 83 .224 .290 .467 21 61 74
Andrew McCutchen 89 .254 .324 .393 10 46 90
Kolten Wong 82 .257 .340 .432 8 28 72

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Kyle Farmer has recorded a team-high batting average of .248 while pacing the Reds in runs batted in with a mark of 50.
  • Farmer ranks 198th in home runs and 57th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Joey Votto has racked up a team-best 10 home runs.
  • Among all major league batters, Votto ranks 109th in home runs and 120th in RBI.
  • Nick Senzel is hitting .248 with nine doubles, three home runs and 17 walks.
  • Jonathan India has 10 doubles, seven home runs and 10 walks while hitting .249.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Kyle Farmer 89 .248 .322 .370 6 50 77
Joey Votto 80 .221 .335 .396 10 38 62
Nick Senzel 75 .248 .305 .320 3 18 62
Jonathan India 52 .249 .309 .400 7 23 51
Albert Almora Jr. 51 .236 .259 .376 5 28 42

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