Mets vs. Braves Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/5/2022

The New York Mets (67-38) host the Atlanta Braves (63-43) at 7:10 PM ET Friday for a sluggers’ duel between two of the best power hitters in MLB. For the favored Mets (-136), Pete Alonso has racked up 29 homers this season, fourth in the league, while Austin Riley ranks fourth in the majors with 29 dingers of his own this season for the underdogs. New York’s Taijuan Walker and Atlanta’s Ian Anderson have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Braves Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Braves

We have the Braves on the moneyline at +116 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Atlanta Braves (+116) and Over (8.5)

Mets vs. Braves Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Ian Anderson
• Game Day: Friday, August 5, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Taijuan Walker

• Walker aims for his 10th victory when he gets the start for the Mets, his 19th of the season. He is 9-2 with a 2.79 ERA and 80 strikeouts in 103 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Sunday against the Miami Marlins, the righty tossed 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 2.79, with 7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .231 batting average against him.
• Walker enters this game with 10 quality starts under his belt this season.
• Walker will aim to go five or more innings for his 16th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing.
• He will face a Braves offense that ranks fourth in the league with 504 runs while batting .249 as a unit. It has a collective .441 slugging percentage (third in MLB play) and has hit a total of 162 home runs (second in MLB).

Braves Starter Ian Anderson

• The Braves will hand the ball to Anderson (9-6) for his 21st start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed six innings without allowing a run on one hit in a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.99, a 1.837 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.505 in 20 games this season.
• He has five quality starts in 20 chances this season.
• Anderson has made 15 starts of five or more innings in 20 chances this season, and averages 5.0 frames when he pitches.
• The Mets have scored 498 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They are batting .257 for the campaign with 110 home runs, 15th in the league.
• The Mets have gone 5-for-19 with two doubles and an RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 79 times this season and won 54, or 68.4%, of those games.
• New York is 34-16 this season when entering a game favored by -136 or more on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 57.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of their 107 games with a total.
• The Mets have an ATS record of 58-47-0 in 105 games with a spread this season.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have been victorious in eight, or 34.8%, of the 23 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Atlanta has won one of five games when listed as at least +116 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 46.3% chance of pulling out a win.
• Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 52 of their 105 opportunities.
• The Braves have an against the spread record of 52-53-0 in 105 games with a line this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Mets best power option comes in the form of Alonso and his 29-homer 91-RBI season, both team highs.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Alonso is fourth in homers and second in RBI.
• Alonso carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with two doubles, three home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has 16 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .261.
• Lindor ranks 28th in homers and sixth in RBI on the season.
• Starling Marte has 19 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 18 walks while batting .299.
• Marte is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .200 with two RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has 19 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 39 walks while hitting .270.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Riley leads the squad with a batting average of .297, while pacing the Braves in home runs, with 29 and runs batted in with 68.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Riley’s home run total ranks fourth and his RBI tally is ninth.
• Matt Olson is hitting .246 with 35 doubles, 21 home runs and 52 walks.
• Olson is 18th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 12th in RBI.
• Dansby Swanson leads the Braves’ lineup with a .297 batting average.
• Marcell Ozuna is hitting .222 with 13 doubles, 19 home runs and 27 walks.