Yankees vs. Cardinals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/5/2022

The New York Yankees (70-36) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (57-48) at 8:15 PM ET Friday for a sluggers’ duel between two of the best home-run hitters in baseball. Aaron Judge has racked up 43 homers this season (No. 1 in the league) for the favored Yankees which sit as -144 favorites, while Paul Goldschmidt ranks seventh in the majors with 26 dingers of his own for the underdogs. New York’s Nestor Cortes gets the start, and he’ll go against St. Louis’ Dakota Hudson.

Yankees vs. Cardinals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Cardinals

We have the Cardinals on the moneyline at +123 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: St. Louis Cardinals (+123) and Over (8.5)

Yankees vs. Cardinals Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes
• St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson
• Game Day: Friday, August 5, 2022
• Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
• Location: St. Louis, Missouri
• Stadium: Busch Stadium

New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Nestor Cortes

• Nestor Cortes Jr. tries for his 10th victory when he gets the start for the Yankees, his 20th of the season. He is 9-3 with a 2.53 ERA and 111 strikeouts in 106 2/3 innings pitched.
• The left-hander’s most recent time out was on Saturday against the Kansas City Royals, when he threw five innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up five hits.
• The 27-year-old has a 2.53 ERA and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings across 19 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .214 to his opponents.
• Cortes heads into the matchup with eight quality starts under his belt this year.
• Cortes will look to extend a four-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per appearance).
• He will face a Cardinals offense that ranks sixth in the league with 488 runs while batting .252 as a squad. It has a collective .412 slugging percentage (ninth in MLB action) and has hit a total of 120 home runs (11th in MLB).
• The 27-year-old’s 2.53 ERA ranks eighth, 1.022 WHIP ranks 12th, and 9.4 K/9 ranks 12th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Cardinals Starter Dakota Hudson

• The Cardinals will hand the ball to Hudson (6-6) for his 20th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 4 1/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
• The 27-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with an ERA of 4.10 and 4.8 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .256.
• He has earned a quality start six times in 19 starts this season.
• In 19 starts, Hudson has pitched through or past the fifth inning 11 times. He has a season average of 5.1 frames per outing.
• The Yankees have scored 567 runs this season, which ranks first in MLB. They are batting .245 for the campaign with 185 home runs, first in the league.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Yankees have won 65 out of the 98 games, or 66.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
• New York has entered 81 games this season favored by -144 or more and is 54-27 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 59% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• New York and its opponents have hit the over in 53 of their 106 games with a total this season.
• In 106 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 50-56-0 ATS.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cardinals have been chosen as underdogs in 50 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (44%) in those games.
• St. Louis has a mark of 6-15 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +123 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• St. Louis and their opponents have gone over in 49 of their 108 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Cardinals have an against the spread record of 58-49-0 in 107 games with a line this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Yankees best power option comes in the form of Judge and his 43-home-run 93-RBI season, both team highs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Judge is 20th in batting average, 10th in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
• Anthony Rizzo has 16 doubles, a triple, 27 home runs and 48 walks while hitting .227.
• Rizzo is sixth in homers and 14th in RBI in the bigs.
• DJ LeMahieu has 16 doubles, 11 home runs and 57 walks while batting .289.
• Andrew Benintendi is batting .305 to lead his team.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Goldschmidt leads the lineup with a batting average of .332, while pacing the Cardinals in home runs, with 26 and runs batted in with 82.
• In all of the majors, Goldschmidt ranks seventh in homers and fourth in RBI.
• Goldschmidt takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
• Nolan Arenado is batting .293 with 25 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 38 walks.
• Arenado is currently 18th in homers and 19th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Tommy Edman is hitting .259 with 18 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 36 walks.
• Dylan Carlson is batting .247 with 23 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 26 walks.