Blue Jays vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/5/2022

Lourdes Gurriel Jr., batting .313 this season, leads the Toronto Blue Jays (59-46) into a matchup with Luis Arraez (.326 AVG) and the Minnesota Twins (55-50). The Blue Jays are -126 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Target Field, beginning at 8:10 PM ET. Toronto’s Jose Berrios gets the start, and he’ll go against Minnesota’s Tyler Mahle.

Blue Jays vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Twins

We have the Twins on the moneyline at +106 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (+106) and Over (9)

Blue Jays vs. Twins Game Info

• Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: José Berríos
• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle
• Game Day: Friday, August 5, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Stadium: Target Field

Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Blue Jays Starter José Berríos

• Berrios gets the start for the Blue Jays, his 22nd of the season. He is 8-4 with a 4.96 ERA and 106 strikeouts in 114 1/3 innings pitched.
• The righty’s most recent time out came on Sunday against the Detroit Tigers, when he tossed seven innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up three hits.
• In 21 games this season, the 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.96, with 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .272 against him.
• Berrios is trying to collect his 12th quality start of the year in this matchup.
• Berrios will aim to go five or more innings for his seventh straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
• The opposing Twins offense has a collective .250 batting average, and is 10th in the league with 884 total hits and 14th in MLB action with 473 runs scored. It has the seventh-ranked slugging percentage (.416) and ranks ninth in home runs (130) in all of MLB.
• Berrios has thrown seven innings, giving up two earned runs on three hits while striking out 13 against the Twins this season.
• The 28-year-old’s 4.96 ERA ranks 57th, 1.321 WHIP ranks 48th, and 8.3 K/9 ranks 31st among qualifying pitchers this season.

Twins Starter Tyler Mahle

• The Twins’ Mahle (5-7) will make his 20th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Saturday with the Cincinnati Reds, when he threw six innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up five hits against the Baltimore Orioles.
• The 27-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with an ERA of 4.40, a 2.923 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.246.
• He’s going for his third quality start in a row.
• Mahle has nine starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Blue Jays have scored 509 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They are batting .265 for the campaign with 135 home runs, fifth in the league.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Blue Jays have entered the game as favorites 86 times this season and won 50, or 58.1%, of those games.
• Toronto is 42-32 this season when entering a game favored by -126 or more on the moneyline.
• The Blue Jays have a 55.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Games involving Toronto have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 55 of 104 chances this season.
• The Blue Jays are 48-56-0 ATS in their 104 games with a spread this season.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have come away with 16 wins in the 42 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Minnesota has a win-loss record of 10-17 when favored by +106 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Twins have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Minnesota and their opponents have gone over in 50 of their 106 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 106 games with a line this season, the Twins have a mark of 51-55-0 against the spread.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. paces the Blue Jays in home runs (22) and runs batted in (66).
• Including all MLB hitters, Guerrero is 32nd in batting average, 29th in on-base percentage, and 17th in slugging.
• Guerrero has collected a hit in 15 straight games. In his last 10 games he is hitting .410 with six doubles, two home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
• George Springer is batting .251 with 14 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 36 walks.
• Springer is 35th in home runs and 61st in RBI in the major leagues.
• Alejandro Kirk is hitting .303 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 40 walks.
• Bo Bichette has 26 doubles, 14 home runs and 27 walks while batting .260.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Arraez leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .326.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Arraez ranks 197th in homers and 158th in RBI.
• Jorge Polanco has racked up 49 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Polanco is 60th overall in homers and 61st in RBI this season.
• Byron Buxton leads the Twins with 26 long balls.
• Carlos Correa is batting .266 with 14 doubles, 13 home runs and 36 walks.