Cubs vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/6/2022

Chicago’s Drew Smyly and Miami’s Pablo Lopez have been named the starters for this contest.

Cubs vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cubs vs. Marlins

After digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at -110. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (-110) and Over (8.5)

Cubs vs. Marlins Game Info

• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Drew Smyly
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Pablo López
• Game Day: Saturday, August 6, 2022
• Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Stadium: Wrigley Field

Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Cubs Starter Drew Smyly

• Smyly (3-6 with a 4.42 ERA and 48 strikeouts in 59 innings pitched) gets the start for the Cubs, his 14th of the season.
• His last time out came on Sunday against the San Francisco Giants, when the lefty threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up seven hits.
• The 33-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.42, with 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in 13 games this season. Opponents have a .272 batting average against him.
• Smyly has recorded one quality start this season.
• Smyly has pitched five or more innings in a game five times this year heading into this matchup.
• He will face off against a Marlins offense that ranks 21st in MLB with 840 total hits (on a .236 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .372 (27th in MLB) with 98 total home runs (20th in MLB).

Marlins Starter Pablo López

• The Marlins’ Lopez (7-6) will make his 22nd start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up six earned runs and allowed 12 hits in 2 2/3 innings pitched against the New York Mets on Sunday.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in 21 games this season with an ERA of 3.41, a 3.4 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.121.
• In 21 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in eight of them.
• Lopez has made 17 starts of five or more innings in 21 chances this season, and averages 5.2 frames when he pitches.
• The Cubs are batting .242 this season, 16th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .390 (15th in the league) with 103 home runs.
• The 26-year-old ranks 31st in ERA (3.41), 23rd in WHIP (1.121), and 16th in K/9 (9) among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have entered the game as favorites 30 times this season and won 13, or 43.3%, of those games.
• Chicago has a record of 13-17 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -110 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Cubs, based on the moneyline, is 52.4%.
• Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 48 of their 107 opportunities.
• In 107 games with a spread this season, the Cubs are 54-53-0 ATS.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been underdogs in 57 games this season and have come away with the win 19 times (33.3%) in those contests.
• Miami has a mark of 19-38 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -110 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 52.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Miami and their opponents have gone over in 50 of their 106 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 106 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 47-59-0 against the spread.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Willson Contreras is outstanding at getting on base when he’s at the plate. Contreras leads the Cubs this season with a .367 OBP and 84 hits.
• Contreras’ home runs rank him 41st in the majors, and he is 103rd in RBI.
• Ian Happ is batting .274 with 26 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 43 walks.
• Happ ranks 136th in homers in MLB, and 74th in RBI.
• Nico Hoerner has accumulated a team-best batting average of .292.
• Patrick Wisdom’s 20 home runs and 52 RBI are both team-highs.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jesus Aguilar is hitting .241 with 16 doubles, 13 home runs and 23 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .288.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Aguilar ranks 72nd in home runs and 86th in RBI.
• Miguel Rojas is hitting .238 with 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 19 walks.
• Rojas ranks 197th in homers and 196th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Garrett Cooper paces the Marlins with a team-high batting average of .275.
• Joey Wendle has 13 doubles, two home runs and 10 walks while batting .267.