Blue Jays vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/6/2022

by | Aug 6, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Blue Jays vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/6/2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (59-47) visit the Minnesota Twins (56-50) at 7:10 PM ET Saturday in a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .312 this year (sixth in the league) for the favored Blue Jays (-137), while Luis Arraez ranks third in the majors with a .321 average for the underdog Twins. Toronto’s Mitch White gets the start, and he’ll go against Minnesota’s Dylan Bundy.

Blue Jays vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

Blue Jays vs Twins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Blue Jays -137 +118 9 -110 -110 -1.5 +115 -135

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Twins

We have the Twins on the moneyline at +118 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (+118) and Over (9)

Blue Jays vs. Twins Game Info

  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Mitch White
  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy
  • Game Day: Saturday, August 6, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Target Field

Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

White Bundy
0 GS 18
0-0 W-L 6-5
ERA 5.04
0 IP 89.1
0 BB 19
0 SO 68

Blue Jays Starter Mitch White

  • White will start for the Blue Jays, his first this season.
  • The 27-year-old righty makes his season debut and his first appearance in more than a year.
  • The Twins are 14th in MLB play with 479 runs scored this season, and are batting .250 with 132 home runs (eighth in baseball).

Twins Starter Dylan Bundy

  • The Twins will hand the ball to Bundy (6-5) for his 19th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs in five innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 5.04 and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .271 in 18 games this season.
  • In 18 starts this season, he’s earned two quality starts.
  • In 18 starts, Bundy has pitched through or past the fifth inning 13 times. He has a season average of 4.3 frames per outing.
  • The Blue Jays are batting .265 this season, first in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .438 (fourth in the league) with 138 home runs.
  • The right-hander has faced the Blue Jays one time this season, allowing them to go 8-for-16 with a double, a triple, two home runs and five RBI in 2 1/3 innings.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Blue Jays have been favored 87 times and won 50, or 57.5%, of those games.
  • Toronto is 38-22 this season when entering a game favored by -137 or more on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 57.8% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
  • Toronto’s games have gone over the total in 56 of their 105 chances.
  • In 105 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 48-57-0 ATS.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Twins have been underdogs in 43 games this season and have come away with the win 17 times (39.5%) in those contests.
  • This season, Minnesota has come away with a win seven times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least +118 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 45.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Minnesota and their opponents have hit the over in 51 of their 107 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 107 games with a line this season, the Twins have a mark of 52-55-0 against the spread.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Blue Jays best power option comes in the form of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and his 23-home-run 68-RBI season, both team highs.
  • Guerrero’s home runs rank him 15th in MLB, and he ranks 11th in RBI.
  • Guerrero carries a 16-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .368 with five doubles, three home runs, four walks and eight RBI.
  • George Springer has 14 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 36 walks while batting .251.
  • Springer ranks 35th in homers and 62nd in RBI in the bigs.
  • Alejandro Kirk is batting .302 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Whit Merrifield is batting .244 with 23 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 30 walks.
  • Merrifield brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .273 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 105 .289 .362 .515 23 68 116
George Springer 89 .251 .331 .464 18 49 85
Alejandro Kirk 94 .302 .386 .466 12 40 92
Whit Merrifield 97 .244 .293 .354 6 43 96
Bo Bichette 105 .260 .302 .416 14 56 113

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Arraez leads the Twins with a team-leading batting average of .321.
  • In all of the majors, Arraez is 200th in homers and 158th in RBI.
  • Jorge Polanco has driven in the most runs for the Twins with 49 runs batted in.
  • Among all major league hitters, Polanco is 61st in homers and 62nd in RBI.
  • Byron Buxton leads the Twins with 26 long balls.
  • Carlos Correa is hitting .268 with 15 doubles, 13 home runs and 36 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Luis Arraez 95 .321 .389 .423 6 34 114
Jorge Polanco 87 .235 .351 .410 14 49 74
Byron Buxton 80 .219 .298 .542 26 46 65
Carlos Correa 82 .268 .343 .438 13 37 85
Gio Urshela 91 .263 .307 .422 10 45 81

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