Astros vs. Guardians Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/7/2022

Trey Mancini is on the brink of his 99th hit of the season for the Houston Astros (70-39) as they get set to take on the Cleveland Guardians (55-52) on Sunday. The Astros enter the matchup as -144 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Progressive Field at 12:05 PM ET. Cristian Javier will get the ball for Houston while Cleveland counter with Triston McKenzie.

Astros vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Guardians

Our best bet is the Guardians on the moneyline at +123 after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+123) and Over (8)

Astros vs. Guardians Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie
• Game Day: Sunday, August 7, 2022
• Game Time: 12:05 PM ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field

Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Astros Starter Cristian Javier

• Javier (6-7) gets the starting nod for the Astros in his 17th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.24 ERA in 94 1/3 innings pitched, with 128 strikeouts.
• In his most recent outing on Wednesday against the Boston Red Sox, the righty threw 6 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• The 25-year-old has an ERA of 3.24, with 12.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 20 games this season. Opponents are batting .186 against him.
• Javier has recorded five quality starts this season.
• Javier is aiming for his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.2 innings per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Guardians offense has the 18th-ranked slugging percentage (.385) and ranks 29th in MLB play with 85 home runs. It has a collective .251 batting average, and is eighth in MLB with 915 total hits and 16th in MLB play scoring 467 runs.
• Head-to-head against the Guardians this season, Javier has thrown 5 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run on three hits, while striking out nine.

Guardians Starter Triston McKenzie

• McKenzie (7-8) will take the mound for the Guardians, his 20th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed six hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
• The 25-year-old has pitched in 20 games this season with an ERA of 3.38, a 3.531 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.000.
• In 19 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in 10 of them.
• McKenzie has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Astros have scored 486 runs this season, which ranks 12th in MLB. They are batting .242 for the campaign with 151 home runs, third in the league.
• The right-hander has allowed the Astros to go 3-for-23 with a double, a home run and an RBI in seven innings this season.
• Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 25-year-old’s 3.38 ERA ranks 28th, 1.000 WHIP ranks 10th, and 8.5 K/9 ranks 28th.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Astros have been favored 93 times and won 63, or 67.7%, of those games.
• Houston is 43-23 this season when entering a game favored by -144 or more on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 59% chance to win.
• Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 39 of their 110 opportunities.
• In 110 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 57-53-0 ATS.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have been victorious in 28, or 44.4%, of the 63 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Cleveland has come away with a win 15 times in 37 chances when named as an underdog of at least +123 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Cleveland and their opponents have hit the over in 55 of their 115 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Guardians have posted a record of 60-55-0 against the spread this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Not only does Yordan Alvarez lead the Astros in hitting with his .303 average, he also paces the squad with 30 home runs and 73 RBI.
• In all of MLB, Alvarez is third in home runs and seventh in RBI.
• Alex Bregman is hitting .249 with 26 doubles, 13 home runs and 58 walks.
• Bregman is 75th in homers in baseball, and 36th in RBI.
• Bregman has five games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .389 with a double, three walks and an RBI.
• Jose Altuve is hitting .284 with 23 doubles, 19 home runs and 40 walks.
• Kyle Tucker is batting .241 with 16 doubles, 19 home runs and 47 walks.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians in home runs (21) and runs batted in (87).
• In all of MLB, Ramirez is 20th in home runs and third in RBI.
• Ramirez brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .278 with a double, a walk and three RBI.
• Amed Rosario is batting .288 with 19 doubles, six triples, seven home runs and 20 walks.
• Rosario is 179th in homers and 88th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Steven Kwan has 17 doubles, three triples, two home runs and 36 walks while hitting .295.
• Andres Gimenez paces the Guardians with a .300 batting average.