Mets vs. Braves Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/7/2022

Expect the long ball when Pete Alonso (29 HR) and the New York Mets (69-39) take on Austin Riley (29 HR) and the Atlanta Braves (64-45) at Citi Field, beginning at 4:10 PM ET live on SNY. The Mets are -144 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup. Jacob deGrom starts for New York while Spencer Strider is Atlanta’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Braves Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Braves

After analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Braves on the moneyline at +123. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 6.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Atlanta Braves (+123) and Over (6.5)

Mets vs. Braves Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom
• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
• Game Day: Sunday, August 7, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• TV Channel: SNY
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Jacob deGrom

• deGrom (0-0) makes the start for the Mets, his second of the season.
• His most recent time out came on Tuesday against the Washington Nationals, when the righty tossed 5 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up three hits.
• Opposing hitters have a collective batting average of just .176 against him this season. He has a 1.80 ERA and 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings over his one appearances.
• He will take the hill against a Braves offense that ranks seventh in MLB with 928 total hits (on a .250 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .442 (third in MLB) with 166 total home runs (second in MLB).

Braves Starter Spencer Strider

• Strider (6-3) will take the mound for the Braves, his 13th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up one earned run on three hits in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
• The 23-year-old has an ERA of 2.79 and 13.8 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .174 in 23 games this season.
• If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his third quality start in a row.
• Strider will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Mets have scored 518 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB. They are batting .259 for the campaign with 111 home runs, 15th in the league.
• The right-hander has allowed the Mets to go 5-for-19 with a double, a triple and an RBI in 4 2/3 innings this season.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 56 out of the 82 games, or 68.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season, New York has won 32 of its 44 games, or 72.7%, when favored by at least -144 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 59% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• New York’s games have gone over the total in 57 of their 110 chances.
• The Mets have an ATS record of 60-48-0 in 108 games with a spread this season.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have been underdogs in 26 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (34.6%) in those contests.
• Atlanta has a mark of 1-3 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +123 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Braves have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 55 of their 108 opportunities.
• The Braves have an against the spread record of 53-55-0 in 108 games with a line this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Alonso paces the Mets in home runs (29) and runs batted in (93).
• Of all hitters in the majors, Alonso is fourth in homers and first in RBI.
• Alonso has collected a hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is batting .400 with two home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .267 with 17 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 45 walks.
• Lindor is 28th in home runs and fifth in RBI in the major leagues.
• Lindor carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .412 with a double, four walks and three RBI.
• Starling Marte is batting .295 with 19 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 20 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .269 with 20 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 41 walks.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Riley has recorded a team- leading batting average of .296, and paces the Braves in long balls with 29.
• Among all batters in MLB, Riley ranks fourth in homers and 12th in RBI.
• Matt Olson has racked up 70 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Olson is 20th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and ninth in RBI.
• Dansby Swanson is hitting .292 with 22 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 34 walks.
• Marcell Ozuna is batting .217 with 13 doubles, 19 home runs and 27 walks.