Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/7/2022

by | Aug 7, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/7/2022

Jurickson Profar is on the brink of his 98th hit of the season for the San Diego Padres (61-49) as they get set to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (74-33) on Sunday. The Padres enter the matchup as +115 underdogs on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Dodger Stadium at 7:08 PM ET, live on ESPN. Los Angeles’ Tyler Anderson gets the start, and he’ll go against San Diego’s Yu Darvish.

Dodgers vs. Padres Spread and Betting Line

Dodgers vs Padres Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Dodgers -135 +115 8.5 -118 -103 -1.5 +148 -177

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Padres

We have the Padres on the moneyline at +115 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going under the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: San Diego Padres (+115) and Under (8.5)

Dodgers vs. Padres Game Info

  • Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson
  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Yu Darvish
  • Game Day: Sunday, August 7, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:08 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Stadium: Dodger Stadium

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Anderson Darvish
18 GS 20
12-1 W-L 10-4
2.89 ERA 3.30
115.1 IP 128.1
23 BB 26
94 SO 127

Dodgers Starter Tyler Anderson

  • The Dodgers will send Anderson (12-1) out for his 19th start of the season. He is 12-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 94 strikeouts in 115 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out was on Wednesday against the San Francisco Giants, when the left-hander tossed five innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • The 32-year-old has an ERA of 2.89, with 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in 20 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .226 batting average against him.
  • Anderson heads into the matchup with 10 quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Anderson heads into this game with 16 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • The opposing Padres offense has a collective .241 batting average, and is 13th in the league with 894 total hits and 14th in MLB play with 485 runs scored. It has the 22nd-ranked slugging percentage (.380) and ranks 23rd in home runs (97) in all of MLB.
  • In 11 innings over two appearances against the Padres this season, Anderson has a 2.45 ERA and a 1.364 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .256.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 32-year-old’s 2.89 ERA ranks 15th, 1.032 WHIP ranks 15th, and 7.3 K/9 ranks 47th.

Padres Starter Yu Darvish

  • Darvish (10-4) will take to the mound for the Padres and make his 21st start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up three earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
  • The 35-year-old has an ERA of 3.30, a 4.885 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of .990 in 20 games this season.
  • If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his sixth quality start in a row.
  • Darvish has 18 starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Dodgers are batting .259 this season, third in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .444 (first in the league) with 137 home runs.
  • The right-hander has allowed the Dodgers to go 9-for-46 with two doubles, three home runs and five RBI in 12 innings this season.
  • The 35-year-old’s 3.30 ERA ranks 26th, .990 WHIP ranks eighth, and 8.9 K/9 ranks 19th among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Dodgers have been favorites in 111 games this season and won 77 (69.4%) of those contests.
  • This season, Los Angeles has won 72 of its 105 games, or 68.6%, when favored by at least -135 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Dodgers, based on the moneyline, is 57.4%.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 46 of their 113 chances.
  • The Dodgers have an ATS record of 68-45-0 in 113 games with a spread this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Padres have been victorious in 17, or 51.5%, of the 33 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, San Diego has been victorious 10 times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 46.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of their 111 opportunities.
  • The Padres have an against the spread mark of 50-61-0 in 111 games with a line this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Freddie Freeman’s .322 average leads the Dodgers this year. His resume also includes 15 homers and driven in 69 RBI.
  • Freeman is 51st in home runs and 12th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Trea Turner has collected 77 runs batted in to pace his team.
  • Turner ranks 35th in home runs and fifth in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Turner carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with a home run and two RBI.
  • Mookie Betts has collected a team-high 25 home runs.
  • Betts has at least one base hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .391 with two doubles, two home runs and seven RBI.
  • Will Smith is hitting .273 with 18 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 41 walks.
  • Smith brings a nine-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .385 with four doubles, two home runs, three walks and 12 RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Freddie Freeman 107 .322 .399 .526 15 69 134
Trea Turner 107 .306 .346 .501 18 77 133
Mookie Betts 90 .273 .342 .535 25 59 102
Will Smith 92 .273 .362 .477 16 59 91
Gavin Lux 98 .300 .375 .431 4 33 94

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Juan Soto has swatted a team-high 21 home runs.
  • Soto ranks 20th in homers and 79th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Soto has collected a hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .400 with a double, a triple, a home run, six walks and an RBI.
  • Josh Bell’s .300 batting average paces his team.
  • Bell ranks 63rd among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 31st in RBI.
  • Manny Machado is batting .293 with 23 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Brandon Drury paces the Padres with 21 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 65.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Juan Soto 105 .250 .411 .489 21 46 89
Josh Bell 107 .300 .386 .486 14 58 116
Manny Machado 99 .293 .366 .511 19 60 110
Jurickson Profar 102 .253 .348 .422 12 47 97
Brandon Drury 96 .271 .334 .519 21 65 98

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