Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/9/2022

One team will end a losing skid when the 64-46 Atlanta Braves (three-game losing streak) and the 54-56 Boston Red Sox (two-game losing streak) meet Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET. The Braves have been set as -135 favorites by oddsmakers for the contest at Fenway Park. Atlanta’s Charlie Morton and Boston’s Rich Hill have been named the starters for this contest.

Braves vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Red Sox

We have the Red Sox on the moneyline at +115 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+115) and Under (9)

Braves vs. Red Sox Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Charlie Morton
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Rich Hill
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 9, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Charlie Morton

• Morton gets the start for the Braves, his 22nd of the season. He is 5-5 with a 4.09 ERA and 134 strikeouts in 116 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Wednesday, the righty threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings against the Philadelphia Phillies while surrendering three hits.
• The 38-year-old has an ERA of 4.09, with 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in 21 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .228 batting average against him.
• Morton is trying to pick up his eighth quality start of the season.
• Morton will look to go five or more innings for his 13th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
• He will take the hill against a Red Sox team that is batting .253 as a unit (sixth in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .408 (11th in MLB) with 107 total home runs (18th in MLB).
• The 38-year-old ranks 48th in ERA (4.09), 39th in WHIP (1.209), and seventh in K/9 (10.3) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Red Sox Starter Rich Hill

• The Red Sox will send Hill (4-5) to the mound for his 17th start this season.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed 3 2/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Houston Astros.
• The 42-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 4.52 and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .259.
• In 16 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in three of them.
• In 16 starts, Hill has pitched through or past the fifth inning seven times. He has a season average of 4.2 frames per outing.
• The Braves have scored 522 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB. They have 930 hits, seventh in baseball, with 167 home runs (second in the league).

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have been favorites in 82 games this season and won 54 (65.9%) of those contests.
• Atlanta has a record of 49-22, a 69% win rate, when favored by -135 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 57.4%.
• So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 55 of their 109 games with a total.
• In 109 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 53-56-0 ATS.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 53 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (41.5%) in those games.
• This year, Boston has won 13 of 32 games when listed as at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with Boston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 49 of 110 chances this season.
• The Red Sox are 56-54-0 against the spread in their 110 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley leads the Braves with 29 home runs and has a team-best batting average of .296.
• Among all MLB batters, Riley ranks 23rd in batting average, 30th in on-base percentage, and fifth in slugging.
• Matt Olson has collected 70 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Olson is 22nd in homers and 10th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Dansby Swanson is hitting .292 with 22 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 34 walks.
• Marcell Ozuna is hitting .215 with 13 doubles, 19 home runs and 27 walks.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox in home runs (24), runs batted in (60) and has posted a team-high batting average of .314.
• In all of the big leagues, Devers is 11th in home runs and 24th in RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts is batting .311 with 28 doubles, nine home runs and 41 walks.
• Among all major league batters, Bogaerts ranks 142nd in homers and 75th in RBI.
• Alex Verdugo is hitting .268 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 23 walks.
• J.D. Martinez is batting .281 with 34 doubles, nine home runs and 34 walks.