Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/9/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (60-48) and Darick Hall (2 HR in his last game) are favored (-215) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Miami Marlins (49-59) on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET. Zack Wheeler gets the starting nod for Philadelphia while Braxton Garrett is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Phillies vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +185 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+185) and Over (7)

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 9, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Zack Wheeler

• The Phillies will send Wheeler (10-5) to the mound to make his 21st start of the season. He is 10-5 with a 2.69 ERA and 129 strikeouts in 120 2/3 innings pitched.
• His last appearance came on Wednesday against the Atlanta Braves, when the right-hander went seven innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing five hits.
• In 20 games this season, the 32-year-old has a 2.69 ERA and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .218 to opposing batters.
• Wheeler is looking to extend a third-game quality start streak in this matchup.
• Wheeler is aiming for his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.0 innings per appearance on the hill.
• The opposing Marlins offense has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.371) and ranks 21st in MLB play with 100 home runs. It has a collective .236 batting average, and is 22nd in MLB with 853 total hits and 27th in MLB action scoring 415 runs.
• Head-to-head against the Marlins this season, Wheeler has pitched three innings, giving up seven earned runs on eight hits while striking out three.
• The 32-year-old’s 2.69 ERA ranks 12th, 1.011 WHIP ranks 13th, and 9.6 K/9 ranks 11th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Marlins Starter Braxton Garrett

• The Marlins will hand the ball to Garrett (2-5) for his 12th start of the season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds.
• The 25-year-old has pitched in 11 games this season with an ERA of 3.88, a 4.714 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.155.
• In 11 starts this season, he’s earned three quality starts.
• Garrett has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Phillies have scored 516 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB. They have 915 hits, 11th in baseball, with 146 home runs (fifth in the league).

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have won 40, or 59.7%, of the 67 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia is 5-1 this season when entering a game favored by -215 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 68.3%.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 56 of their 108 games with a total this season.
• The Phillies have an ATS record of 58-50-0 in 108 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 58 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (34.5%) in those games.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win one times in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +185 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 35.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Miami and their opponents have hit the over in 50 of their 108 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 108 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 48-60-0 against the spread.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber is the Phillies best power hitter, hitting 34 homers this season in addition to collecting 67 RBI, both team highs.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Schwarber’s home run total ranks him second, and his RBI tally ranks him 16th.
• Rhys Hoskins is hitting .253 with 20 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 52 walks.
• Hoskins is 11th in homers in baseball, and 46th in RBI.
• Hoskins carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .357 with four home runs, four walks and six RBI.
• J.T. Realmuto has 15 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 30 walks while batting .265.
• Realmuto will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with two triples, two home runs and six RBI.
• Alec Bohm has a club-leading .293 batting average.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jesus Aguilar is batting .241 with 16 doubles, 13 home runs and 23 walks.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Aguilar’s home run total is 76th and his RBI tally is 91st.
• Miguel Rojas has 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 20 walks while batting .235.
• Rojas is 202nd in homers and 201st in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Garrett Cooper has a team-best batting average of .274.
• Joey Wendle is hitting .262 with 13 doubles, two home runs and 11 walks.