Mets vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/9/2022

Jeff McNeil (11 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the New York Mets (71-39) and Cincinnati Reds (44-64) meet Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET, live from Citi Field. McNeil and the Mets are favored by bookmakers with -312 odds on the moneyline. New York’s Carlos Carrasco and Cincinnati’s Mike Minor have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Reds

Our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +251 after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+251) and Over (8.5)

Mets vs. Reds Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Mike Minor
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 9, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Carlos Carrasco

• Carrasco gets the start for the Mets, his 22nd of the season. He is 12-4 with a 3.82 ERA and 114 strikeouts through 117 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Thursday against the Atlanta Braves, the right-hander tossed 6 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• The 35-year-old has an ERA of 3.82, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 21 games this season. Opponents are batting .266 against him.
• Carrasco is looking for his third straight quality start.
• Carrasco will try to last five or more innings for his seventh straight start. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
• He will take the hill against a Reds team that is batting .239 as a unit (18th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .378 (23rd in MLB) with 103 total home runs (20th in MLB).
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 35-year-old’s 3.82 ERA ranks 38th, 1.283 WHIP ranks 47th, and 8.7 K/9 ranks 24th.

Reds Starter Mike Minor

• The Reds will send Minor (1-8) to the mound for his 12th start this season.
• The left-hander gave up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
• The 34-year-old has an ERA of 6.19 and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .279 in 11 games this season.
• In 11 starts this season, he’s earned one quality start.
• Minor will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Mets are batting .259 this season, fourth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .409 (10th in the league) with 112 home runs.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have won 58, or 69%, of the 84 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• New York has played as a favorite of -312 or more twice this season and split those games.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 75.7% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• New York’s games have gone over the total in 57 of their 112 chances.
• The Mets are 62-48-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 85 games this year and have walked away with the win 34 times (40%) in those games.
• Cincinnati has a mark of 1-3 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +251 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 28.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 55 of their 110 opportunities.
• The Reds have an against the spread mark of 53-57-0 in 110 games with a line this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso has gone yard 29 times in the 2022 campaign while knocking in 95 runs, both totals that lead the Mets.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Alonso is fourth in homers and second in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has 17 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 46 walks while batting .268.
• Lindor ranks 29th in home runs and fifth in RBI on the season.
• Starling Marte is batting .294 with 19 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 20 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .271 with 21 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 41 walks.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Reds are lead in runs batted in by Kyle Farmer with a mark of 51, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .248.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Farmer’s home run total is 202nd and his RBI tally is 58th.
• Joey Votto has launched a team-best 11 home runs.
• Votto ranks 104th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 120th in RBI.
• Nick Senzel is hitting .253 with 10 doubles, three home runs and 18 walks.
• Albert Almora Jr. is hitting .238 with nine doubles, a triple, five home runs and nine walks.