Mets vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/10/2022

by | Aug 10, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Mets vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/10/2022

The New York Mets (72-39) will put their five-game win streak to the test when they host the Cincinnati Reds (44-65) Wednesday at 1:10 PM ET. Oddsmakers consider the Mets -320 favorites to extend their streak, while the Reds are +253 underdogs looking for the upset. New York’s Taijuan Walker gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s T.J. Zeuch.

Mets vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Mets vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mets -320 +253 9 +101 -121 -1.5 -152 +126

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Reds

Our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +253 after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+253) and Over (9)

Mets vs. Reds Game Info

  • New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
  • Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: T.J. Zeuch
  • Game Day: Wednesday, August 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Walker Zeuch
19 GS 0
9-3 W-L 0-0
3.45 ERA
104.1 IP 0
28 BB 0
80 SO 0

Mets Starter Taijuan Walker

  • Walker (9-3) is going for his 10th victory when he gets the starting nod for the Mets in his 20th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.45 ERA in 104 1/3 innings pitched, with 80 strikeouts.
  • In his last time out on Friday against the Atlanta Braves, the right-hander threw 1 1/3 innings, giving up eight earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • In 19 games this season, the 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.45, with 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .242 against him.
  • Walker is looking to secure his 11th quality start of the year in this outing.
  • Walker has put up 16 starts this campaign in which he pitched five or more innings.
  • The opposing Reds offense has the 23rd-ranked slugging percentage (.378) and is 20th in MLB play with 104 home runs. It has a collective .239 batting average, and is 22nd in MLB with 862 total hits and 19th in MLB action scoring 464 runs.
  • Walker has a 4.5 ERA and a 0.833 WHIP against the Reds this season in six innings pitched, allowing a .190 batting average over one appearance.

Reds Starter T.J. Zeuch

  • Zeuch gets the nod for the Reds and will make his first start of the season.
  • The 27-year-old right-hander will make his season debut.
  • The Mets have scored 534 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They are batting .259 for the campaign with 114 home runs, 16th in the league.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mets have won 59, or 69.4%, of the 85 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • New York has played as a favorite of -320 or more twice this season and split those games.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 76.2% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 57 of their 113 opportunities.
  • In 111 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 63-48-0 ATS.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Reds have won in 34, or 39.5%, of the 86 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Cincinnati has a mark of 1-3 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +253 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 28.3% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 55 of 111 chances this season.
  • The Reds have posted a record of 53-58-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Pete Alonso is the Mets best power hitter, crushing 29 homers this season in addition to delivering 95 RBI, both team highs.
  • Alonso’s home runs place him fifth in MLB, and he ranks second in RBI.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .268 with 17 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 46 walks.
  • Lindor is 27th in homers and sixth in RBI on the season.
  • Starling Marte has 19 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 21 walks while batting .292.
  • Brandon Nimmo is batting .271 with 21 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 41 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Pete Alonso 110 .278 .357 .541 29 95 114
Francisco Lindor 110 .268 .344 .462 20 79 114
Starling Marte 94 .292 .344 .458 12 51 111
Brandon Nimmo 102 .271 .355 .425 10 40 108
Jeff McNeil 97 .306 .362 .445 7 44 106

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Kyle Farmer paces the Reds with 51 runs batted in while putting up a team-best batting average of .252.
  • Farmer is 204th in homers and 60th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Farmer has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with a walk and an RBI.
  • Joey Votto’s 11 home runs are a team-high total.
  • Among all major league hitters, Votto is 107th in homers and 124th in RBI.
  • Nick Senzel has 10 doubles, three home runs and 18 walks while batting .248.
  • Albert Almora Jr. has nine doubles, a triple, five home runs and nine walks while batting .237.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Kyle Farmer 93 .252 .326 .368 6 51 82
Joey Votto 85 .215 .331 .389 11 40 64
Nick Senzel 80 .248 .306 .319 3 18 67
Albert Almora Jr. 56 .237 .274 .374 5 29 45
Jonathan India 57 .248 .307 .392 7 24 55

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