Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/10/2022

by | Aug 10, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/10/2022

The New York Yankees (71-39) will play the Seattle Mariners (59-52) on Wednesday at 4:10 PM ET. Adam Frazier will be looking for his 99th hit of the season for the underdog Mariners (+109) when the game gets underway at T-Mobile Park. Nestor Cortes starts for New York while Robbie Ray is Seattle’s starter for the contest.

Yankees vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Yankees vs Mariners Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Yankees -129 +109 7.5 -111 -109 -1.5 +130 -157

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Mariners

After taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at +109. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (+109) and Over (7.5)

Yankees vs. Mariners Game Info

  • New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes
  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Robbie Ray
  • Game Day: Wednesday, August 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: Seattle, Washington
  • Stadium: T-Mobile Park

New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Cortes Ray
20 GS 22
9-3 W-L 8-8
2.57 ERA 3.96
112.0 IP 129.2
28 BB 44
115 SO 149

Yankees Starter Nestor Cortes

  • The Yankees are sending Nestor Cortes Jr. (9-3) to the mound to make his 21st start of the season as he looks for his 10th victory. He is 9-3 with a 2.57 ERA and 115 strikeouts in 112 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Saturday, the lefty tossed 5 1/3 innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, giving up two earned runs while surrendering one hit.
  • The 27-year-old has a 2.57 ERA and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings in 20 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .208 to his opponents.
  • Cortes is trying to collect his ninth quality start of the season.
  • Cortes is seeking his fifth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance on the mound.
  • The opposing Mariners offense has the 20th-ranked slugging percentage (.385) and ranks 12th in MLB play with 124 home runs. It has a collective .232 batting average, and is 25th in MLB with 856 total hits and 22nd in MLB action scoring 449 runs.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 27-year-old ranks ninth in ERA (2.57), 12th in WHIP (1.018), and 15th in K/9 (9.2).

Mariners Starter Robbie Ray

  • Ray (8-8) will take the mound for the Mariners, his 23rd start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 7 2/3 innings while giving up one earned run on five hits in a matchup with the Los Angeles Angels.
  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.96 and 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .229 in 22 games this season.
  • In 22 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in 12 of them.
  • Ray has started 22 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 20 times. He averages 5.3 innings per appearance.
  • The Yankees have scored 588 runs this season, which ranks first in MLB. They have 912 hits, 14th in baseball, with 188 home runs (first in the league).
  • The 30-year-old’s 3.96 ERA ranks 44th, 1.188 WHIP ranks 38th, and 10.3 K/9 ranks eighth among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 102 times this season and won 66, or 64.7%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 60-33 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -129 on the moneyline.
  • The Yankees have a 56.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 55 of their 111 games with a total.
  • In 111 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 52-59-0 ATS.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have come away with 30 wins in the 68 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Seattle has a mark of 20-26 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +109 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 47.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 53 of their 112 opportunities.
  • The Mariners are 57-55-0 against the spread in their 112 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Aaron Judge is the Yankees best power hitter, connecting on 44 long balls this season in addition to collecting 98 RBI, both team highs.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Judge is 12th in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
  • Judge has collected a hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .400 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and five RBI.
  • Anthony Rizzo has 16 doubles, a triple, 27 home runs and 48 walks while hitting .227.
  • Rizzo is sixth in homers and 18th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • DJ LeMahieu is batting .286 with 18 doubles, 12 home runs and 60 walks.
  • Andrew Benintendi’s .306 batting average leads his team.
  • Benintendi is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .316 with four doubles, a walk and three RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Aaron Judge 107 .303 .393 .675 44 98 123
Anthony Rizzo 98 .227 .347 .511 27 66 79
DJ LeMahieu 101 .286 .388 .429 12 43 108
Andrew Benintendi 105 .306 .380 .386 3 44 118
Gleyber Torres 99 .254 .306 .450 16 47 92

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ty France leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .298.
  • France’s home run total puts him 67th in MLB, and he ranks 40th in RBI.
  • J.P. Crawford is batting .255 with 19 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 39 walks.
  • Crawford ranks 232nd overall in homers and 205th in RBI this year.
  • Jesse Winker is batting .229 with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 64 walks.
  • Frazier is batting .243 with 16 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 35 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ty France 93 .298 .368 .463 14 56 110
J.P. Crawford 101 .255 .331 .354 5 28 97
Jesse Winker 101 .229 .348 .363 11 42 80
Adam Frazier 110 .243 .306 .310 3 28 98
Eugenio Suárez 111 .227 .329 .415 18 58 92

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