Reds vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/11/2022

The Cincinnati Reds (44-66) stumble into Thursday’s matchup with the Chicago Cubs (45-65) looking to break a three-game losing streak. The contest starts at 7:15 PM ET with the Reds listed as -115 favorites to right the ship. Nick Lodolo gets the starting nod for Cincinnati while Drew Smyly is Chicago’s starter for the contest.

Reds vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Reds vs. Cubs

We have the Cubs on the moneyline at -105 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (-105) and Over (8.5)

Reds vs. Cubs Game Info

• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo
• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Drew Smyly
• Game Day: Thursday, August 11, 2022
• Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
• Location: Dyersville, Iowa
• Stadium: Field of Dreams

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Reds Starter Nick Lodolo

• Lodolo (3-3 with a 4.40 ERA and 58 strikeouts in 43 innings pitched) makes the start for the Reds, his 10th of the season.
• In his most recent appearance on Saturday against the Milwaukee Brewers, the lefty went 4 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• In nine games this season, the 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.40, with 12.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .279 against him.
• Lodolo enters the outing with two quality starts under his belt this season.
• Lodolo will try to pick up his sixth game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 4.2 innings per appearance.
• He will match up with a Cubs offense that ranks 16th in MLB with 905 total hits (on a .244 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .391 (16th in MLB) with 108 total home runs (19th in MLB).

Cubs Starter Drew Smyly

• The Cubs will send Smyly (4-6) to the mound for his 15th start this season.
• The left-hander allowed five hits in 6 2/3 scoreless innings pitched against the Miami Marlins on Saturday.
• The 33-year-old has pitched to a 3.97 ERA this season with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.1 walks per nine across 14 games.
• He has earned a quality start two times in 14 starts this season.
• Smyly has made six starts of five or more innings in 14 chances this season, and averages 4.2 frames when he pitches.
• The Reds have scored 466 runs this season, which ranks 19th in MLB. They are batting .239 for the campaign with 104 home runs, 20th in the league.
• The left-hander has allowed the Reds to go 4-for-21 with a double, two home runs and three RBI in 5 2/3 innings this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have won 10, or 43.5%, of the 23 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Cincinnati has a record of 9-10 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -115 on the moneyline.
• The Reds have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Games involving Cincinnati have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 56 of 112 chances this season.
• The Reds are 53-59-0 against the spread in their 112 chances this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have won in 30, or 38.5%, of the 78 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Chicago has been victorious 28 times in 76 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 50 of their 112 opportunities.
• The Cubs are 57-55-0 against the spread in their 112 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Farmer leads the Reds with 51 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .255.
• In all of the majors, Farmer is 206th in home runs and 61st in RBI.
• Farmer has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .368 with a walk and an RBI.
• Joey Votto has hit 11 home runs to lead his team.
• Votto is 107th in home runs and 116th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Nick Senzel has 10 doubles, three home runs and 18 walks while batting .247.
• Albert Almora Jr. has nine doubles, a triple, five home runs and 10 walks while hitting .233.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Willson Contreras has 21 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 38 walks while batting .253.
• Contreras is 43rd in home runs and 93rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Contreras has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a home run and five RBI.
• Ian Happ is batting .276 with 29 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 44 walks.
• Happ ranks 146th overall in home runs and 78th in RBI this season.
• Nico Hoerner leads the Cubs with a team-best batting average of .300.
• Patrick Wisdom leads the Cubs in home runs (20) and runs batted in (52).