Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/11/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (62-48) will put their seven-game win streak to the test when they host the Miami Marlins (49-61) Thursday at 1:05 PM ET. Bookmakers consider the Phillies -169 favorites to extend their streak, while the Marlins are +144 underdogs looking for the upset. Kyle Gibson will get the ball for Philadelphia while Miami counter with Edward Cabrera.

Phillies vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +144 after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+144) and Over (8)

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera
• Game Day: Thursday, August 11, 2022
• Game Time: 1:05 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Kyle Gibson

• The Phillies are sending Gibson (7-4) out for his 22nd start of the season. He is 7-4 with a 4.36 ERA and 88 strikeouts in 115 2/3 innings pitched.
• The righty’s last appearance came on Friday against the Washington Nationals, when he threw eight innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing two hits.
• In 21 games this season, the 34-year-old has a 4.36 ERA and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .238 to opposing batters.
• Gibson is trying to secure his third quality start in a row in this outing.
• Gibson will try to extend a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per appearance).
• The opposing Marlins offense has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.371) and is 22nd in MLB play with 101 home runs. It has a collective .236 batting average, and is 25th in MLB with 867 total hits and 27th in MLB action scoring 419 runs.
• Gibson has pitched 18 2/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on 16 hits while striking out 17 against the Marlins this season.
• The 34-year-old’s 4.36 ERA ranks 51st, 1.167 WHIP ranks 34th, and 6.8 K/9 ranks 51st among qualifying pitchers this season.

Marlins Starter Edward Cabrera

• The Marlins will hand the ball to Cabrera (2-1) for his fifth start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw five scoreless innings against the Chicago Cubs without allowing a hit.
• The 24-year-old has pitched in four games this season with an ERA of 2.61, a 1.917 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.065.
• In four starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in two of them.
• Cabrera has started four games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings three times. He averages 5.1 innings per appearance.
• The Phillies have scored 524 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB. They are batting .250 for the campaign with 148 home runs, fifth in the league.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 69 games this season and won 42 (60.9%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia has a record of 20-6, a 76.9% win rate, when favored by -169 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 62.8%.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 56 of their 110 games with a total this season.
• The Phillies are 59-51-0 against the spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have come away with 20 wins in the 60 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 1-10 when favored by +144 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 41% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Contests with Miami have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 50 of 110 chances this season.
• The Marlins have an against the spread mark of 49-61-0 in 110 games with a line this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Phillies best power option comes in the form of Kyle Schwarber and his 34-dinger 69-RBI season, both team highs.
• Schwarber’s home runs place him second in MLB, and he ranks 16th in RBI.
• Schwarber carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
• Rhys Hoskins has 21 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 52 walks while batting .251.
• Among all MLB hitters, Hoskins is 13th in homers and 49th in RBI.
• J.T. Realmuto has 16 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 30 walks while hitting .268.
• Realmuto is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .421 with a double, two triples, three home runs and eight RBI.
• Alec Bohm has a club-best .293 batting average.
• Bohm has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with a double, four walks and two RBI.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jesus Aguilar is hitting .241 with 17 doubles, 13 home runs and 23 walks.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Aguilar’s home run total is 78th and his RBI tally is 97th.
• Miguel Rojas is hitting .233 with 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 20 walks.
• Rojas ranks 209th in home runs and 206th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Garrett Cooper paces the Marlins’ lineup with a .276 batting average.
• Joey Wendle is batting .257 with 13 doubles, two home runs and 11 walks.