Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/11/2022

The Baltimore Orioles (58-52) are +113 underdogs for their matchup with the Boston Red Sox (54-58) on Thursday at 7:10 PM ET. Ryan Mountcastle has 97 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Fenway Park. Josh Winckowski will get the ball for Boston while Baltimore counter with Dean Kremer.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Orioles

We have the Orioles on the moneyline at +113 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 10 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+113) and Over (10)

Red Sox vs. Orioles Game Info

• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Josh Winckowski
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
• Game Day: Thursday, August 11, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Red Sox Starter Josh Winckowski

• Winckowski gets the start for the Red Sox, his 11th of the season. He is 5-5 with a 4.68 ERA and 32 strikeouts through 50 innings pitched.
• In his most recent appearance on Saturday against the Kansas City Royals, the right-hander threw five innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering five hits.
• In 10 games this season, the 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.68, with 5.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .289 against him.
• Winckowski is looking to pick up his fourth quality start of the year in this outing.
• Winckowski will try to go five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.0 frames per outing.
• The opposing Orioles offense has the 15th-ranked slugging percentage (.392) and ranks 15th in MLB play with 115 home runs. It has a collective .237 batting average, and is 20th in MLB with 879 total hits and 19th in MLB action scoring 467 runs.
• Head-to-head against the Orioles this season, Winckowski has pitched three innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits while striking out four.

Orioles Starter Dean Kremer

• Kremer (4-3) will take the mound for the Orioles, his 12th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed 6 1/3 innings without allowing a run on four hits in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in 11 games this season with an ERA of 3.43 and 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .279.
• In 11 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in three of them.
• Kremer has made seven starts of five or more innings in 11 chances this season, and averages 5.1 frames when he pitches.
• The Red Sox have scored 504 runs this season, which ranks 12th in MLB. They have 977 hits, sixth in baseball, with 111 home runs (17th in the league).

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have won 32, or 56.1%, of the 57 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• This season, Boston has won 17 of its 35 games, or 48.6%, when favored by at least -134 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.3% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
• Games involving Boston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 51 of 112 chances this season.
• The Red Sox are 56-56-0 ATS in their 112 games with a spread this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have won in 47, or 49.5%, of the 95 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Baltimore has come away with a win 36 times in 70 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 46.9% chance of walking away with the win.
• Baltimore and their opponents have hit the over in 52 of their 111 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Orioles have posted a record of 74-37-0 against the spread this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers has accumulated a team-high batting average of .310, while pacing the Red Sox in home runs (24) and runs batted in (60).
• In all of the majors, Devers ranks 13th in home runs and 28th in RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts has 29 doubles, nine home runs and 41 walks while batting .307.
• Bogaerts is 146th in home runs and 78th in RBI in the bigs.
• Alex Verdugo is batting .273 with 26 doubles, seven home runs and 25 walks.
• Verdugo is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .474 with four doubles, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
• Tommy Pham is hitting .237 with 14 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 44 walks.
• Pham is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .217 with a double, three home runs, two walks and seven RBI.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Cedric Mullins has 26 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 34 walks while hitting .261.
• Mullins ranks 146th in home runs and 85th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Anthony Santander has hit 20 home runs with 60 runs batted in while hitting .262. Those numbers are pace the clubhouse.
• Santander is currently 27th in homers and 28th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Austin Hays is batting .261 with 24 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 23 walks.
• Mountcastle is hitting .258 with 24 doubles, 15 home runs and 24 walks.