Padres vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/12/2022

by | Aug 11, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Padres vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/12/2022

Joey Meneses leads the Washington Nationals (37-76) into Friday’s matchup with the San Diego Padres (63-51) on a three-game homer streak. His Nationals are underdogs for the contest, however, with sportsbooks naming the Padres as -305 moneyline favorites. The game starts at 7:05 PM ET from Nationals Park. Mike Clevinger takes the mound for San Diego while Cory Abbott is Washington’s starter for the contest.

Padres vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Padres vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Padres -305 +255 8.5 -120 +100 -1.5 -180 +155

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Nationals

We have the Nationals on the moneyline at +255 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+255) and Over (8.5)

Padres vs. Nationals Game Info

  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Mike Clevinger
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Cory Abbott
  • Game Day: Friday, August 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Stadium: Nationals Park

San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Clevinger Abbott
12 GS 2
3-4 W-L 0-1
3.60 ERA 5.68
65.0 IP 12.2
17 BB 8
62 SO 11

Padres Starter Mike Clevinger

  • The Padres are sending Clevinger (3-4) to make his 13th start of the season. He is 3-4 with a 3.60 ERA and 62 strikeouts in 65 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Sunday, the right-hander went 4 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up five earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.60, with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 13 games this season. Opponents have a .226 batting average against him.
  • Clevinger heads into this outing with four quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Clevinger has seven starts this year in which he pitched five or more innings.
  • He will take the hill against a Nationals squad that is hitting .248 as a unit (12th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .375 (26th in MLB) with 92 total home runs (28th in MLB).

Nationals Starter Cory Abbott

  • The Nationals will send Abbott to the mound for his third start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he threw 3 2/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up seven earned runs.
  • He has an ERA of 5.68, a 1.375 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.500 in five games this season.
  • In two starts, Abbott has pitched through or past the fifth inning one time. He has a season average of 2.2 frames per outing.
  • The Padres have scored 505 runs this season, which ranks 11th in MLB. They have 928 hits, 14th in baseball, with 101 home runs (22nd in the league).

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Padres have been favored 81 times and won 46, or 56.8%, of those games.
  • San Diego has played as a favorite of -305 or more once this season and won that game.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 75.3% chance to win.
  • Games involving San Diego have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 55 of 115 chances this season.
  • The Padres have an ATS record of 52-63-0 in 115 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have come away with 30 wins in the 97 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Washington has been listed as an underdog of +255 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 28.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Contests with Washington have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 56 of 113 chances this season.
  • The Nationals have posted a record of 47-66-0 against the spread this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Juan Soto has a team-high 22 home runs.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Soto ranks 21st in homers and 78th in RBI.
  • Soto has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with a double, a home run, four walks and an RBI.
  • Manny Machado is batting .294 with 25 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Machado ranks 27th in homers and 21st in RBI among all major league batters this season.
  • Machado has three straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .318 with two doubles, a home run and five RBI.
  • Josh Bell leads the Padres with a team-high batting average of .297.
  • Bell is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .167 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
  • Brandon Drury has hit 22 home runs with 69 RBI. Both are team-highs.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Juan Soto 109 .254 .413 .495 22 47 94
Manny Machado 103 .294 .365 .515 20 65 116
Josh Bell 111 .297 .383 .479 14 59 119
Brandon Drury 100 .268 .329 .515 22 69 101
Jurickson Profar 106 .251 .343 .413 12 47 101

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Nelson Cruz has driven in the most runs for the Nationals with 52 runs batted in.
  • Among all batters in the big leagues, Cruz is 159th in home runs and 56th in RBI.
  • Cesar Hernandez is hitting .241 with 23 doubles, three triples and 34 walks.
  • Hernandez is 400th in homers and 238th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Keibert Ruiz paces the Nationals’ lineup with a .246 batting average.
  • Luke Voit has racked up a team-high 15 home runs.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Nelson Cruz 100 .235 .319 .343 8 52 85
César Hernández 112 .241 .304 .307 0 24 105
Keibert Ruiz 89 .246 .306 .358 6 29 79
Luke Voit 89 .230 .323 .425 15 51 74
Lane Thomas 98 .239 .292 .394 10 36 74

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