Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/12/2022

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Friday when the New York Yankees (71-41) and Boston Red Sox (55-58) take to the field at 7:10 PM ET. Andrew Benintendi is batting .305 for the Yankees (-126 favorites on the moneyline) while Xander Bogaerts leads the underdog Red Sox (+105) with a .309 average. New York’s Domingo German and Boston’s Nathan Eovaldi have been named the starters for this contest.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Red Sox

Our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +105 after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+105) and Over (9.5)

Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Domingo Germán
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
• Game Day: Friday, August 12, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Domingo Germán

• German (1-2 with a 5.09 ERA and 13 strikeouts in 17 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Yankees, his fifth of the season.
• In his last appearance on Saturday, the right-hander threw five innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
• The 30-year-old has amassed an ERA of 5.09, with 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in four games this season. Opponents have a .284 batting average against him.
• Germán will try to continue a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.1 innings per outing).
• The opposing Red Sox offense has the 12th-ranked slugging percentage (.410) and ranks 17th in MLB play with 111 home runs. It has a collective .253 batting average, and is fifth in MLB with 985 total hits and 10th in MLB play scoring 508 runs.

Red Sox Starter Nathan Eovaldi

• The Red Sox’s Eovaldi (5-3) will make his 18th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up four earned runs in six innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
• The 32-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with an ERA of 4.23 and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .263.
• In 17 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in seven of them.
• Eovaldi has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Yankees rank first in MLB with 591 runs scored this season. They have a .244 batting average this campaign with 190 home runs (first in the league).
• The Yankees have gone 11-for-39 with a double, three home runs and six RBI in 9 1/3 innings this season against the right-hander.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 103 times this season and won 66, or 64.1%, of those games.
• New York has entered 95 games this season favored by -126 or more and is 61-34 in those contests.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 55.8% chance to win.
• Games involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 55 of 112 chances this season.
• The Yankees are 52-60-0 against the spread in their 112 chances this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have won in 22, or 40%, of the 55 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This year, Boston has won 15 of 40 games when listed as at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Boston and their opponents have hit the over in 51 of their 113 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Red Sox have an against the spread record of 56-57-0 in 113 games with a line this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Aaron Judge paces the Yankees in home runs (45) and runs batted in (99).
• Judge ranks first in homers and first in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Judge has collected a hit in six straight games. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .382 with three doubles, four home runs, 13 walks and 10 RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo is hitting .224 with 16 doubles, a triple, 27 home runs and 48 walks.
• Rizzo is sixth in home runs and 19th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• DJ LeMahieu has 18 doubles, 12 home runs and 61 walks while hitting .283.
• Benintendi has a club-best .305 batting average.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers has managed a team-high 24 home runs and has driven in 60 runs.
• In all of MLB, Devers is 13th in home runs and 28th in RBI.
• Bogaerts is batting .309 to lead the lineup.
• Bogaerts ranks 146th in homers and 74th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Alex Verdugo is batting .273 with 27 doubles, seven home runs and 25 walks.
• Tommy Pham has 15 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .237.