Cardinals vs. Brewers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/14/2022

by | Aug 14, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Cardinals vs. Brewers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/14/2022

The St. Louis Cardinals (62-51) and the Milwaukee Brewers (61-51) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Sunday at 2:15 PM ET. The Cardinals are -148 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Brewers (+126). St. Louis’ Miles Mikolas and Milwaukee’s Aaron Ashby have been named the starters for this contest.

Cardinals vs. Brewers Spread and Betting Line

Cardinals vs Brewers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Cardinals -148 +126 8 -114 -106 -1.5 +140 -167

Computer Predictions for Cardinals vs. Brewers

After looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Brewers on the moneyline at +126. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Milwaukee Brewers (+126) and Over (8)

Cardinals vs. Brewers Game Info

  • St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Aaron Ashby
  • Game Day: Sunday, August 14, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:15 PM ET
  • Location: St. Louis, Missouri
  • Stadium: Busch Stadium

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Matchup

Mikolas Ashby
23 GS 15
8-9 W-L 2-10
3.50 ERA 4.32
141.1 IP 85.1
27 BB 41
108 SO 103

Cardinals Starter Miles Mikolas

  • Mikolas (8-9 with a 3.50 ERA and 108 strikeouts in 141 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Cardinals, his 24th of the season.
  • In his most recent outing on Wednesday against the Colorado Rockies, the righty went 2 2/3 innings, allowing 10 earned runs while surrendering 14 hits.
  • In 23 games this season, the 33-year-old has a 3.50 ERA and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .239 to his opponents.
  • Mikolas heads into the matchup with 15 quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Mikolas is looking to collect his 22nd start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
  • He will face off against a Brewers offense that ranks 20th in MLB with 897 total hits (on a .239 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .415 (eighth in MLB) with 153 total home runs (fourth in MLB).
  • Head-to-head against the Brewers this season, Mikolas has pitched 18 2/3 innings, giving up nine earned runs on 16 hits while striking out 16.
  • The 33-year-old ranks 33rd in ERA (3.50), 21st in WHIP (1.090), and 50th in K/9 (6.9) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Brewers Starter Aaron Ashby

  • The Brewers will send Ashby (2-10) to the mound for his 16th start this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Saturday, Aug. 6, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed three hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds.
  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.32, a 2.512 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.465 in 21 games this season.
  • In 15 starts this season, he’s earned two quality starts.
  • Ashby has made six starts of five or more innings in 15 chances this season, and averages 4.0 frames when he pitches.
  • The Cardinals have scored 530 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB. They are batting .253 for the campaign with 130 home runs, 11th in the league.
  • The left-hander has faced the Cardinals one time this season, allowing them to go 2-for-14 with a home run in four innings.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cardinals have won 41, or 65.1%, of the 63 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • St. Louis has a record of 24-12, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -148 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 59.7% chance to win.
  • St. Louis and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of their 116 opportunities.
  • The Cardinals are 63-52-0 ATS in their 115 games with a spread this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Brewers have been victorious in 11, or 47.8%, of the 23 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Milwaukee has a mark of 2-3 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +126 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 44.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 56 of their 112 opportunities.
  • The Brewers have an against the spread mark of 46-66-0 in 112 games with a line this season.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Paul Goldschmidt’s 28 long balls and 89 RBI both lead the Cardinals, on top of his team-high .330 average.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Goldschmidt’s home run total places him sixth, and his RBI tally ranks him fourth.
  • Goldschmidt carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with a double, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
  • Nolan Arenado has 28 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs and 40 walks while hitting .300.
  • Arenado ranks 13th in home runs in baseball, and 12th in RBI.
  • Tommy Edman has 18 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 36 walks while batting .252.
  • Dylan Carlson is batting .236 with 24 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 30 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Paul Goldschmidt 107 .330 .413 .615 28 89 133
Nolan Arenado 105 .300 .367 .564 25 73 119
Tommy Edman 109 .252 .315 .358 7 38 107
Dylan Carlson 93 .236 .307 .388 7 35 79
Brendan Donovan 84 .281 .397 .369 2 30 70

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rowdy Tellez has put up a team-leading 23 home runs and has driven in 71 runs.
  • In all of the majors, Tellez is 19th in home runs and 15th in RBI.
  • Christian Yelich’s .254 batting average paces his team.
  • Yelich ranks 162nd among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 166th in RBI.
  • Andrew McCutchen is hitting .253 with 21 doubles, 11 home runs and 38 walks.
  • Willy Adames is hitting .222 with 17 doubles, 22 home runs and 33 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rowdy Tellez 107 .236 .322 .478 23 71 87
Christian Yelich 107 .254 .357 .378 8 35 102
Andrew McCutchen 96 .253 .323 .396 11 50 95
Willy Adames 90 .222 .287 .453 22 64 80
Kolten Wong 89 .255 .334 .423 8 31 76

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