Twins vs. Royals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/15/2022

by | Aug 15, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Twins vs. Royals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/15/2022

The Minnesota Twins (58-55) are set to take on the Kansas City Royals (48-68) Monday at 7:40 PM ET. The Twins are listed as -194 favorites by sportsbooks, while the underdog Royals have +162 odds for the contest. Joe Ryan will get the ball for Minnesota while Kansas City counter with Kris Bubic.

Twins vs. Royals Spread and Betting Line

Twins vs Royals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Twins -194 +162 8.5 -117 -104 -1.5 +106 -128

Computer Predictions for Twins vs. Royals

We have the Royals on the moneyline at +162 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Kansas City Royals (+162) and Over (8.5)

Twins vs. Royals Game Info

  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Joe Ryan
  • Kansas City Royals probable starting pitcher: Kris Bubic
  • Game Day: Monday, August 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:40 PM ET
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Target Field

Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Matchup

Ryan Bubic
18 GS 18
8-5 W-L 2-6
3.95 ERA 5.02
95.2 IP 86.0
26 BB 43
93 SO 73

Twins Starter Joe Ryan

  • Ryan gets the start for the Twins, his 19th of the season. He is 8-5 with a 3.95 ERA and 93 strikeouts in 95 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance was on Wednesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when the right-hander went five innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing nine hits.
  • In 18 games this season, the 26-year-old has put up a 3.95 ERA and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .226 to opposing hitters.
  • Ryan has collected six quality starts this season.
  • Ryan will try to build on a three-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 frames per appearance).
  • The opposing Royals offense has a collective .247 batting average, and is 10th in the league with 963 total hits and 24th in MLB play with 457 runs scored. It has the 20th-ranked slugging percentage (.383) and ranks 26th in home runs (99) in all of MLB.
  • Head-to-head against the Royals this season, Ryan has thrown 11 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run on seven hits while striking out 11.

Royals Starter Kris Bubic

  • The Royals will send Bubic (2-6) to the mound for his 19th start this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed seven hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with an ERA of 5.02, a 1.698 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.558.
  • He has five quality starts in 18 chances this season.
  • Bubic has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Twins are batting .250 this season, 10th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .416 (eighth in the league) with 140 home runs.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Twins have entered the game as favorites 65 times this season and won 40, or 61.5%, of those games.
  • Minnesota has a record of 9-1 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -194 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 66%.
  • Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 54 of their 114 chances.
  • The Twins are 55-59-0 ATS in their 114 games with a spread this season.

Royals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Royals have been victorious in 39, or 40.2%, of the 97 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Kansas City has a mark of 7-23 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +162 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 38.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Kansas City and their opponents have hit the over in 57 of their 119 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 119 games with a line this season, the Royals have a mark of 57-62-0 against the spread.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Luis Arraez has racked up a team-best batting average of .333.
  • Arraez ranks 213th in home runs and 154th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Jorge Polanco has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 54 runs batted in.
  • Polanco is 59th in homers in the majors, and 55th in RBI.
  • Byron Buxton has launched a team-best 28 homers.
  • Carlos Correa has 15 doubles, 14 home runs and 41 walks while batting .271.
  • Correa has recorded at least one hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .389 with a home run, four walks and two RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Luis Arraez 101 .333 .399 .441 6 37 127
Jorge Polanco 94 .234 .343 .405 15 54 81
Byron Buxton 86 .223 .303 .545 28 51 71
Carlos Correa 89 .271 .351 .440 14 39 92
Gio Urshela 95 .265 .308 .434 11 47 86

Royals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Royals are lead in runs batted in by Bobby Witt Jr. with a mark of 57, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .253.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Witt Jr. is 59th in home runs and 44th in RBI.
  • MJ Melendez has 14 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 41 walks while hitting .232.
  • Melendez ranks 74th in homers and 125th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Hunter Dozier is hitting .244 with 21 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 30 walks.
  • Salvador Perez has swatted a team- leading 17 long balls.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Bobby Witt Jr. 105 .253 .296 .435 15 57 103
MJ Melendez 85 .232 .321 .433 14 41 69
Hunter Dozier 97 .244 .307 .403 10 35 87
Salvador PĂ©rez 74 .219 .256 .455 17 53 64
Nicky Lopez 109 .243 .298 .287 0 15 83

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