Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/19/2022

by | Aug 18, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/19/2022

The Los Angeles Dodgers (81-36) are -266 favorites when they take on the Miami Marlins (52-66) on Friday at 10:10 PM ET. Will Smith has 99 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Dodger Stadium. Tyler Anderson gets the starting nod for Los Angeles while Jesus Luzardo is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Dodgers vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Dodgers vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Dodgers -266 +216 8 -110 -110 -1.5 -124 +104

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Marlins

After analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +216. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+216) and Over (8)

Dodgers vs. Marlins Game Info

  • Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson
  • Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo
  • Game Day: Friday, August 19, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:10 PM ET
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Stadium: Dodger Stadium

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Anderson Luzardo
20 GS 9
13-2 W-L 3-5
2.81 ERA 3.72
128.1 IP 46.0
25 BB 19
101 SO 58

Dodgers Starter Tyler Anderson

  • Anderson makes the start for the Dodgers, his 21st of the season. He is 13-2 with a 2.81 ERA and 101 strikeouts through 128 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent outing on Sunday against the Kansas City Royals, the lefty went 6 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • In 22 games this season, the 32-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.81, with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .223 against him.
  • Anderson is trying to notch his fourth quality start in a row in this matchup.
  • Anderson will try to continue a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 innings per appearance).
  • He will take the mound against a Marlins offense that ranks 20th in MLB with 923 total hits (on a .234 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .370 (27th in MLB) with 107 total home runs (21st in MLB).
  • The 32-year-old ranks 14th in ERA (2.81), 12th in WHIP (1.013), and 48th in K/9 (7.1) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Marlins Starter Jesús Luzardo

  • The Marlins will send Luzardo (3-5) to the mound for his 10th start this season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched to a 3.72 ERA this season with 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.7 walks per nine across nine games.
  • In nine starts this season, he’s earned three quality starts.
  • Luzardo will look to pitch five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • The Dodgers rank first in MLB with 623 runs scored this season. They have a .259 batting average this campaign with 157 home runs (fifth in the league).

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Dodgers have been favored 119 times and won 84, or 70.6%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles is 12-6 this season when entering a game favored by -266 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Dodgers have a 72.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 52 of their 123 chances.
  • In 123 games with a spread this season, the Dodgers are 75-48-0 ATS.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Marlins have been underdogs in 68 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (33.8%) in those contests.
  • Miami has played as an underdog of +216 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 31.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 51 of their 118 opportunities.
  • The Marlins have posted a record of 53-65-0 against the spread this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Freddie Freeman is the Dodgers best hitter thus far this season, hitting at a team-leading .316 clip along with 16 homers and 73 RBI.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Freeman’s home run total places him 53rd, and his RBI tally puts him 14th.
  • Freeman carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .238 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and an RBI.
  • Trea Turner has racked up 83 runs batted in to pace his team.
  • Turner ranks 39th in homers and fifth in RBI in the majors.
  • Mookie Betts has a team-best 27 home runs.
  • Smith is hitting .271 with 20 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 44 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Freddie Freeman 117 .316 .394 .516 16 73 144
Trea Turner 117 .306 .344 .493 18 83 146
Mookie Betts 99 .271 .343 .533 27 61 111
Will Smith 100 .271 .357 .471 17 66 99
Gavin Lux 107 .295 .373 .439 6 39 101

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jesus Aguilar leads the Marlins with 15 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 48.
  • In all of the big leagues, Aguilar ranks 65th in homers and 86th in RBI.
  • Miguel Rojas is batting .238 with 14 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 23 walks.
  • Rojas is 212th overall in homers and 211th in RBI this season.
  • Garrett Cooper leads the Marlins with a team-best batting average of .269.
  • Jon Berti is batting .271 with 13 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 27 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Jesús Aguilar 108 .237 .287 .395 15 48 94
Miguel Rojas 104 .238 .289 .339 6 29 85
Garrett Cooper 94 .269 .345 .415 7 42 87
Jon Berti 64 .271 .357 .379 2 20 58
Joey Wendle 69 .262 .302 .359 2 24 62

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