Phillies vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/24/2022

by | Aug 24, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Phillies vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/24/2022

The Cincinnati Reds (48-73) are +205 underdogs for their matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies (68-55) on Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET. Kyle Farmer has 98 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Citizens Bank Park. Cristopher Sanchez will get the ball for Philadelphia while Cincinnati counter with T.J. Zeuch.

Phillies vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Phillies vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Phillies -250 +205 8.5 -116 -104 -1.5 -117 -104

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Reds

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +205. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+205) and Over (8.5)

Phillies vs. Reds Game Info

  • Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Cristopher Sánchez
  • Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: T.J. Zeuch
  • Game Day: Wednesday, August 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Sánchez Zeuch
0 GS 2
0-0 W-L 0-2
ERA 13.50
0 IP 8.0
0 BB 3
0 SO 5

Phillies Starter Cristopher Sánchez

  • Sanchez will take the mound to start for the Phillies, his first this season.
  • It’s the season debut and his first appearance in more than a year for the 25-year-old southpaw.
  • The Reds have scored 516 runs this season (19th in MLB) and are batting .240 collectively with 114 home runs (20th in the league).

Reds Starter T.J. Zeuch

  • Zeuch will get the start for the Reds, his third of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, Aug. 16 against the Philadelphia Phillies, throwing four innings and giving up six earned runs.
  • He has pitched in two games this season with an ERA of 13.50, a batting average against of .436 and 5.6 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • The Phillies rank eighth in MLB with a .251 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks seventh in the league (.421) and 159 home runs.
  • The Phillies have gone 11-for-23 with a double, three home runs and six RBI in four innings this season against the right-hander.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Phillies have won 46, or 59%, of the 78 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Philadelphia is undefeated in three games this season when favored by -250 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 71.4% chance to win.
  • Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 61 of their 123 chances.
  • The Phillies have an ATS record of 64-59-0 in 123 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 95 games this year and have walked away with the win 38 times (40%) in those games.
  • This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win three times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +205 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 32.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in 62 of their 123 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Reds have posted a record of 59-64-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rhys Hoskins is batting .244 with 22 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 61 walks.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Hoskins ranks 12th in home runs and 45th in RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber’s 34 home runs and 71 RBI both pace his team.
  • Schwarber is second in homers in the majors, and 22nd in RBI.
  • J.T. Realmuto is hitting .268 with 20 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
  • Realmuto is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .450 with three doubles, a triple and four RBI.
  • Alec Bohm’s .292 batting average leads his team.
  • Bohm has recorded at least one hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .429 with a double, two home runs, a walk and nine RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rhys Hoskins 122 .244 .338 .474 26 60 111
Kyle Schwarber 117 .212 .313 .491 34 71 92
J.T. Realmuto 105 .268 .338 .450 13 59 102
Alec Bohm 115 .292 .325 .413 10 57 128
Nicholas Castellanos 122 .267 .309 .397 12 59 127

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Reds are lead in runs batted in by Farmer with a mark of 55, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .263.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Farmer is 221st in home runs and 69th in RBI.
  • Nick Senzel is hitting .244 with 11 doubles, four home runs and 21 walks.
  • Senzel is 277th in home runs and 273rd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Jonathan India is batting .244 with 12 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 14 walks.
  • Mike Moustakas is batting .214 with 12 doubles, seven home runs and 24 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Kyle Farmer 104 .263 .332 .368 6 55 98
Nick Senzel 89 .244 .303 .320 4 22 74
Jonathan India 66 .244 .309 .394 8 26 62
Mike Moustakas 78 .214 .295 .345 7 25 54
Dónovan Solano 47 .331 .387 .448 3 19 54

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