Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/25/2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (67-55) are -173 moneyline favorites to win Thursday when they plan to send Kevin Gausman to the mound to face the Boston Red Sox (60-64). Gausman will try to earn his 10th win when the teams hit the field at 7:10 PM ET. Gausman will get the ball for Toronto while Boston counter with Kutter Crawford.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox

Our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +146 after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+146) and Over (9)

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Game Info

• Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford
• Game Day: Thursday, August 25, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Blue Jays Starter Kevin Gausman

• The Blue Jays will send Gausman (9-9) out to make his 24th start of the season as he tries for his 10th victory. He is 9-9 with a 2.99 ERA and 149 strikeouts through 129 1/3 innings pitched.
• The righty last appeared on Friday against the New York Yankees, when he threw 7 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
• The 31-year-old has a 2.99 ERA and 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings across 23 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .271 to opposing hitters.
• Gausman has 13 quality starts this season.
• Gausman has 18 starts this year in which he pitched five or more innings.
• The opposing Red Sox offense has the 12th-ranked slugging percentage (.405) and is 19th in MLB play with 116 home runs. It has a collective .254 batting average, and is seventh in MLB with 1085 total hits and 12th in MLB play scoring 553 runs.
• Gausman has thrown 26 innings, giving up four earned runs on 22 hits while striking out 37 against the Red Sox this season.
• This season, the 31-year-old ranks 18th in ERA (2.99), 42nd in WHIP (1.237), and eighth in K/9 (10.4) among qualifying pitchers.

Red Sox Starter Kutter Crawford

• Crawford (3-5) will take to the mound for the Red Sox and make his 11th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up nine earned runs and allowed 11 hits in 3 2/3 innings against the Baltimore Orioles.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with an ERA of 5.14 and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .256.
• In 10 starts this season, he’s earned four quality starts.
• In 10 starts, Crawford has pitched through or past the fifth inning nine times. He has a season average of 3.2 frames per outing.
• The Blue Jays are batting .262 this season, second in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .430 (third in the league) with 151 home runs.
• The right-hander has allowed the Blue Jays to go 5-for-20 with a double and three RBI in six innings this season.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Blue Jays have been favorites in 100 games this season and won 56 (56%) of those contests.
• Toronto has a record of 25-15, a 62.5% win rate, when favored by -173 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The Blue Jays have a 63.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 63 of their 121 opportunities.
• The Blue Jays have an ATS record of 53-68-0 in 121 games with a spread this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 60 games this year and have walked away with the win 24 times (40%) in those games.
• This year, Boston has won two of 10 games when listed as at least +146 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 40.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 55 of their 124 opportunities.
• The Red Sox have posted a record of 62-62-0 against the spread this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a team-high 26 home runs and 76 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in MLB, Guerrero ranks 13th in home runs and 15th in RBI.
• Guerrero takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .286 with three doubles, a walk and an RBI.
• George Springer is hitting .275 with 17 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 37 walks.
• Springer ranks 43rd in home runs and 70th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Springer enters this matchup looking for his ninth game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 games he is batting .459 with three doubles, a triple, three walks and eight RBI.
• Alejandro Kirk paces the Blue Jays with a .302 batting average.
• Bo Bichette has 29 doubles, 17 home runs and 28 walks while hitting .259.
• Bichette takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with a double.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers paces the Red Sox in home runs (25), runs batted in (64) and has a team-best batting average of .299.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Devers’ home run total ranks 19th and his RBI tally is 32nd.
• Devers has collected a hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with a walk and an RBI.
• Alex Verdugo is hitting .280 with 30 doubles, seven home runs and 29 walks.
• Verdugo ranks 197th overall in homers and 55th in RBI this season.
• Xander Bogaerts has 31 doubles, 10 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .298.
• Tommy Pham is batting .243 with 19 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 45 walks.