Phillies vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/25/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (69-55) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (48-74) on Thursday at 7:05 PM ET. Kyle Farmer will be looking for his 100th hit of the season for the underdog Reds (+260) when the game gets underway at Citizens Bank Park. Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola and Cincinnati’s Justin Dunn have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Reds

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +260. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+260) and Over (8.5)

Phillies vs. Reds Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Justin Dunn
• Game Day: Thursday, August 25, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Aaron Nola

• Nola (8-10 with a 3.25 ERA and 174 strikeouts in 157 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Phillies, his 25th of the season.
• His last appearance was on Friday against the New York Mets, when the righty threw five innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing eight hits.
• The 29-year-old has a 3.25 ERA and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings in 24 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .220 to his opponents.
• Nola heads into the game with 14 quality starts under his belt this year.
• Nola will try to pitch five or more innings for his 23rd straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.2 innings per outing.
• He will face a Reds offense that ranks 19th in the league with 521 runs while batting .241 as a unit. It has a collective .378 slugging percentage (21st in MLB action) and has hit a total of 116 home runs (19th in MLB).
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 29-year-old ranks 26th in ERA (3.25), fourth in WHIP (.958), and ninth in K/9 (9.9).

Reds Starter Justin Dunn

• The Reds will send Dunn (1-1) to the mound for his fourth start this season.
• The right-hander gave up one earned run in five innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 6.08 and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .288 in three games this season.
• Dunn has one start of five or more innings this season in three chances. He averages 4.1 innings per outing.
• The Phillies rank sixth in MLB with 576 runs scored this season. They have a .252 batting average this campaign with 160 home runs (sixth in the league).

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have won 47, or 59.5%, of the 79 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has not been a bigger favorite this season than the -331 moneyline set for this game.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 76.8% chance to win.
• So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 62 of their 124 games with a total.
• The Phillies are 65-59-0 ATS in their 124 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have come away with 38 wins in the 96 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Cincinnati has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +260 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 27.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Cincinnati and their opponents have gone over in 63 of their 124 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Reds are 59-65-0 against the spread in their 124 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rhys Hoskins is hitting .247 with 22 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 62 walks.
• Hoskins’ home runs rank him 13th in the majors, and he is 37th in RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit 34 home runs with 72 RBI. Both lead his team.
• Schwarber ranks second in home runs and 22nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• J.T. Realmuto is batting .273 with 21 doubles, five triples, 14 home runs and 32 walks.
• Realmuto is on a six-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last 10 games he is batting .359 with five doubles, a triple, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
• Alec Bohm is batting .292 to lead his team.
• Bohm brings a six-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 games he is batting .326 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and 10 RBI.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Farmer paces the Reds with 56 runs batted in while accumulating a team-best batting average of .263.
• In all of MLB, Farmer ranks 197th in homers and 64th in RBI.
• Farmer carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .227 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Nick Senzel is hitting .245 with 11 doubles, four home runs and 23 walks.
• Senzel is 279th in homers and 277th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Jonathan India is hitting .245 with 13 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 14 walks.
• Mike Moustakas is batting .214 with 12 doubles, seven home runs and 24 walks.