Braves vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/24/2022

The Atlanta Braves (77-48) will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (47-76) on Wednesday at 12:35 PM ET. Ke’Bryan Hayes will be looking for his 99th hit of the season for the underdog Pirates (+202) when the game gets underway at PNC Park. Kyle Wright gets the starting nod for Atlanta while Mitch Keller is Pittsburgh’s starter for the contest.

Braves vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Pirates

Our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +202 after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+202) and Over (8.5)

Braves vs. Pirates Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Kyle Wright
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Mitch Keller
• Game Day: Wednesday, August 24, 2022
• Game Time: 12:35 PM ET
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: PNC Park

Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Kyle Wright

• The Braves will send Wright (15-5) to make his 24th start of the season. He is 15-5 with a 3.14 ERA and 136 strikeouts through 140 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent appearance on Friday, the right-hander tossed six innings against the Houston Astros, allowing two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
• The 26-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.14, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 23 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .236 batting average against him.
• Wright is looking to build on a second-game quality start streak in this matchup.
• Wright will try to last five or more innings for his eighth straight start. He’s averaging 6.0 frames per outing.
• He will take the hill against a Pirates offense that is hitting .220 as a unit (29th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .360 (28th in MLB) with 120 total home runs (18th in MLB).
• Wright has a 4.50 ERA and a 1.167 WHIP against the Pirates this season in six innings pitched, allowing a .238 batting average over one appearance.
• This season, the 26-year-old ranks 25th in ERA (3.14), 31st in WHIP (1.166), and 26th in K/9 (8.7) among pitchers who qualify.

Pirates Starter Mitch Keller

• The Pirates will send Keller (4-9) to the mound for his 22nd start this season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, Aug. 16, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed five hits in two innings against the Boston Red Sox.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 4.49 and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .279 in 23 games this season.
• In 21 starts this season, he’s earned eight quality starts.
• Keller has started 21 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 14 times. He averages 4.3 innings per appearance.
• The Braves are batting .251 this season, eighth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .443 (second in the league) with 188 home runs.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have been favorites in 95 games this season and won 66 (69.5%) of those contests.
• Atlanta has a record of 9-1 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -248 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 71.3% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 61 of their 124 chances.
• In 124 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 63-61-0 ATS.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have won in 38, or 36.2%, of the 105 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Pittsburgh has a mark of 6-10 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +202 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 33.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 56 of their 124 opportunities.
• The Pirates are 63-61-0 against the spread in their 124 games that had a posted line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley has hit a team-best 31 homers.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Riley is third in home runs and 11th in RBI.
• Matt Olson has racked up 83 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Olson is 12th in homers and seventh in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Dansby Swanson leads the Braves with a .290 batting average.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. is hitting .272 with 17 doubles, 10 home runs and 43 walks.
• Acuna has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a double and two walks.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds leads the squad with a batting average of .256, while leading the Pirates in home runs, with 20 and runs batted in with 46.
• Reynolds’ home run total places him 34th in the majors, and he is 106th in RBI.
• Hayes is hitting .248 with 18 doubles, three triples, six home runs and 39 walks.
• Hayes is 221st overall in homers and 181st in RBI this year.
• Ben Gamel is hitting .249 with 18 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 35 walks.
• Michael Chavis is batting .247 with 13 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 13 walks.