Mets vs. Rockies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/28/2022

The New York Mets (82-46) host the Colorado Rockies (54-74) at 1:40 PM ET Sunday in a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. Jeff McNeil is batting .322 this year (second in the league) for the favored Mets (-353), while Jose Iglesias ranks seventh in the majors with a .307 average for the underdog Rockies. Max Scherzer will get the ball for New York while Colorado counter with German Marquez.

Mets vs. Rockies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Rockies

Our best bet is the Rockies on the moneyline at +280 after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Colorado Rockies (+280) and Over (7.5)

Mets vs. Rockies Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Max Scherzer
• Colorado Rockies probable starting pitcher: Germán Márquez
• Game Day: Sunday, August 28, 2022
• Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Max Scherzer

• Scherzer (9-3 with a 2.33 ERA and 137 strikeouts in 115 2/3 innings pitched) aims for his 10th victory when he gets the start for the Mets, his 19th of the season.
• In his last appearance on Monday, the right-hander tossed 6 2/3 innings against the New York Yankees, giving up four earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
• The 38-year-old has a 2.33 ERA and 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings in 18 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .210 to his opponents.
• Scherzer has 13 quality starts under his belt this season.
• Scherzer is seeking his 19th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 frames per appearance on the hill.
• He will face a Rockies offense that ranks first in MLB with 1152 total hits (on a .262 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .403 (12th in MLB) with 114 total home runs (21st in MLB).

Rockies Starter Germán Márquez

• The Rockies will hand the ball to Marquez (6-10) for his 25th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw six innings against the Texas Rangers, giving up six earned runs while allowing eight hits.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 5.22, a 2.396 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.432 in 24 games this season.
• In 24 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in 12 of them.
• Marquez has pitched five or more innings in nine straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Mets rank sixth in MLB with a .258 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks ninth in the league (.409) and 129 home runs.
• The right-hander has allowed the Mets to go 11-for-29 with three doubles, a home run and four RBI in six innings this season.
• The 27-year-old’s 5.22 ERA ranks 55th, 1.432 WHIP ranks 54th, and 7.4 K/9 ranks 44th among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have won 66, or 68.8%, of the 96 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• This season, New York has won two of its three games when favored by at least -353 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 77.9% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• New York’s games have gone over the total in 64 of their 130 chances.
• The Mets are 71-57-0 against the spread in their 128 chances this season.

Rockies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rockies have been underdogs in 105 games this season and have come away with the win 39 times (37.1%) in those contests.
• Colorado has played as an underdog of +280 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 26.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Contests with Colorado have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 63 of 130 chances this season.
• The Rockies have an against the spread record of 70-60-0 in 130 games with a line this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso has gone yard 31 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 105 runs, both totals that lead the Mets.
• Alonso’s home runs place him fourth in the majors, and he ranks third in RBI.
• Alonso carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a home run and three RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has 17 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 53 walks while batting .266.
• Lindor is 32nd in home runs in the majors, and seventh in RBI.
• Starling Marte is batting .292 with 24 doubles, five triples, 14 home runs and 25 walks.
• Marte has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a double, a triple, a walk and four RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .265 with 25 doubles, five triples, 12 home runs and 52 walks.

Rockies Leaders & Batting Stats

• C.J. Cron leads the Rockies with 24 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 84.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Cron is 22nd in homers and eighth in RBI.
• Cron has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .368 with a home run, a walk and four RBI.
• Charlie Blackmon is batting .270 with 19 doubles, four triples, 16 home runs and 27 walks.
• Blackmon is 59th overall in home runs and 28th in RBI this season.
• Brendan Rodgers is hitting .280 with 28 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 36 walks.
• Iglesias leads the team in batting average with a mark of .307.