Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/28/2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (66-59) are -161 moneyline favorites to win Sunday when they plan to send Eric Lauer to the mound to face the Chicago Cubs (55-72). Lauer will try to earn his 10th win when the teams hit the field at 2:10 PM ET. Lauer starts for Milwaukee while Adrian Sampson is Chicago’s starter for the contest.

Brewers vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Cubs

We have the Cubs on the moneyline at +136 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+136) and Over (8.5)

Brewers vs. Cubs Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Eric Lauer
• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Adrian Sampson
• Game Day: Sunday, August 28, 2022
• Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Eric Lauer

• Lauer (9-5) is trying for his 10th victory when he takes the mound for the Brewers in his 24th start of the season. He has a 3.44 ERA in 130 2/3 innings pitched, with 125 strikeouts.
• His most recent appearance was on Tuesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when the lefty threw 5 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up five hits.
• The 27-year-old has a 3.44 ERA and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings across 23 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .228 to his opponents.
• Lauer is trying to pick up his 12th quality start of the year in this game.
• Lauer is seeking his sixth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance on the mound.
• He will take the mound against a Cubs offense that ranks 18th in MLB with 1026 total hits (on a .239 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .389 (15th in MLB) with 129 total home runs (16th in MLB).
• Lauer has a 2.12 ERA and a 1.059 WHIP against the Cubs this season in 17 innings pitched, allowing a .197 batting average over three appearances.
• This season, the 27-year-old ranks 33rd in ERA (3.44), 41st in WHIP (1.209), and 27th in K/9 (8.6) among pitchers who qualify.

Cubs Starter Adrian Sampson

• Sampson (1-4) will take to the mound for the Cubs and make his 12th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed eight hits in 3 1/3 innings pitched against the St. Louis Cardinals on Wednesday.
• The 30-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with an ERA of 4.04, a 3 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.316.
• In 11 starts this season, he’s earned two quality starts.
• In 11 starts, Sampson has pitched through or past the fifth inning eight times. He has a season average of 4.2 frames per outing.
• The Brewers rank 12th in MLB with 565 runs scored this season. They have a .234 batting average this campaign with 176 home runs (third in the league).
• The right-hander has faced the Brewers one time this season, allowing them to go 4-for-20 with a double, a home run and an RBI in 5 2/3 innings.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Brewers have been favored 96 times and won 54, or 56.2%, of those games.
• Milwaukee has a record of 29-19 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -161 on the moneyline.
• The Brewers have a 61.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 63 of their 125 games with a total this season.
• The Brewers have an ATS record of 51-74-0 in 125 games with a spread this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 90 games this year and have walked away with the win 38 times (42.2%) in those games.
• This season, Chicago has come away with a win 14 times in 38 chances when named as an underdog of at least +136 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 42.4% chance of pulling out a win.
• Chicago and their opponents have hit the over in 57 of their 129 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Cubs are 67-62-0 against the spread in their 129 games that had a posted line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez paces the Brewers in home runs (27) and runs batted in (75).
• In all of MLB, Tellez ranks 11th in homers and 17th in RBI.
• Christian Yelich has a club-best .260 batting average.
• Including all MLB hitters, Yelich is 142nd in homers and 141st in RBI.
• Yelich carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .429 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
• Willy Adames has sent home a team-high 75 runs batted in.
• Adames will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with three doubles, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .245 with 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 41 walks.
• McCutchen is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .150 with a walk.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ian Happ has put up a team-leading 62 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in MLB, Happ ranks 71st in home runs and 46th in RBI.
• Willson Contreras’ 20 home runs pace his team.
• Contreras ranks 38th overall in home runs and 80th in RBI this season.
• Nico Hoerner leads the Cubs’ lineup with a .289 batting average.
• Seiya Suzuki has 20 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .252.