White Sox vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/28/2022

Following a four-hit effort last time out, Jake McCarthy leads the Arizona Diamondbacks (58-67) into action as +161 underdogs against the Chicago White Sox (63-64). First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday. Dylan Cease will get the ball for Chicago while Arizona counter with Zach Davies.

White Sox vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for White Sox vs. Diamondbacks

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +161. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+161) and Over (7.5)

White Sox vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• Chicago White Sox probable starting pitcher: Dylan Cease
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Zach Davies
• Game Day: Sunday, August 28, 2022
• Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Stadium: Guaranteed Rate Field

Chicago White Sox vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

White Sox Starter Dylan Cease

• Cease (12-6 with a 2.27 ERA and 182 strikeouts in 139 innings pitched) gets the start for the White Sox, his 26th of the season.
• The righty’s most recent appearance came on Tuesday against the Baltimore Orioles, when he went 5 1/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing three hits.
• In 25 games this season, the 26-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.27, with 11.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .199 against him.
• Cease has recorded 11 quality starts this season.
• Cease is seeking his 14th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance on the mound.
• He will face a Diamondbacks offense that ranks 16th in the league with 542 runs while batting .230 as a squad. It has a collective .385 slugging percentage (17th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 135 home runs (14th in MLB).
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 26-year-old ranks fifth in ERA (2.27), 32nd in WHIP (1.165), and second in K/9 (11.8).

Diamondbacks Starter Zach Davies

• The Diamondbacks will hand the ball to Davies (2-4) for his 21st start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed two hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Kansas City Royals.
• The 29-year-old has pitched to a 3.86 ERA this season with 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.2 walks per nine across 20 games.
• He has started 20 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in four of them.
• Davies has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The White Sox have scored 531 runs this season, which ranks 20th in MLB. They are batting .259 for the campaign with 106 home runs, 26th in the league.

White Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The White Sox have won 43, or 51.2%, of the 84 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Chicago has a record of 8-4, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -191 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the White Sox have a 65.6% chance to win.
• So far this season, Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 57 of their 131 games with a total.
• The White Sox are 57-74-0 against the spread in their 131 chances this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 40, or 42.1%, of the 95 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Arizona has won seven of 26 games when listed as at least +161 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 38.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 61 of their 130 opportunities.
• The Diamondbacks are 74-56-0 against the spread in their 130 games that had a posted line this season.

White Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• The White Sox leader in both batting average and home runs is Jose Abreu, who comes into the matchup hitting .308 and has left the yard 14 times while driving in 60 runs this season.
• Among all batters in MLB, Abreu ranks 82nd in homers and 52nd in RBI.
• Andrew Vaughn has hit 14 home runs with 61 RBI. Both lead his team.
• Vaughn ranks 82nd in home runs in MLB, and 49th in RBI.
• Luis Robert is hitting .300 with 18 doubles, 12 home runs and 17 walks.
• Elvis Andrus has 25 doubles, eight home runs and 31 walks while hitting .236.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks in home runs (30) and runs batted in (72).
• Walker is seventh in home runs and 26th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Walker carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .381 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Ketel Marte is hitting .251 with 32 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 46 walks.
• Marte ranks 142nd overall in homers and 123rd in RBI this year.
• Daulton Varsho is hitting .238 with 19 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 39 walks.
• Josh Rojas paces the Diamondbacks with a team-high batting average of .282.