Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/29/2022

Led by Christian Yelich (two-game homer streak), the Milwaukee Brewers (67-59) are favorites versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (48-79) Monday at 8:10 PM ET. Sportsbooks have named the Brewers as -345 favorites for the game. Milwaukee is projected to give the ball to Corbin Burnes, while Pittsburgh has yet to name a starting pitcher.

Brewers vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Pirates

Our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +270 after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+270) and Over (7.5)

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
• Game Day: Monday, August 29, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Brewers Starter Corbin Burnes

• Burnes aims for his 10th victory when he gets the start for the Brewers, his 26th of the season. He is 9-6 with a 2.84 ERA and 190 strikeouts in 152 1/3 innings pitched.
• In 25 games this season, the 27-year-old has an ERA of 2.84, with 11.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .191 against him.
• Burnes has 17 quality starts under his belt this year.
• Burnes heads into the game with 22 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
• He will face a Pirates offense that ranks 29th in MLB with 918 total hits (on a .220 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .361 (28th in MLB) with 124 total home runs (18th in MLB).
• Burnes has pitched 18 1/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs on eight hits while striking out 21 against the Pirates this season.
• The 27-year-old ranks 16th in ERA (2.84), eighth in WHIP (.965), and fifth in K/9 (11.2) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Brewers have been favored 97 times and won 55, or 56.7%, of those games.
• Milwaukee has not been a bigger favorite this season than the -345 moneyline set for this game.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 77.5% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
• Games involving Milwaukee have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 64 of 126 chances this season.
• In 126 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 52-74-0 ATS.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have been victorious in 39, or 35.8%, of the 109 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Pittsburgh has been listed as an underdog of +270 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 27% chance of walking away with the win.
• Contests with Pittsburgh have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 58 of 128 chances this season.
• In 128 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 64-64-0 against the spread.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez leads the Brewers in home runs (27) and runs batted in (75).
• Including all MLB hitters, Tellez is 119th in batting average, 83rd in on-base percentage, and 27th in slugging.
• Yelich is hitting .264 to pace his team.
• Yelich is 129th in homers and 124th in RBI on the year.
• Yelich has three straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .455 with two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
• Willy Adames has racked up a team-best 75 runs batted in.
• Adames has at least one base hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .333 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .245 with 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 41 walks.
• McCutchen takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .150 with a walk.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates with 21 home runs and 48 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .251.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Reynolds’ home run total is 33rd and his RBI tally is 103rd.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes is batting .248 with 20 doubles, three triples, six home runs and 39 walks.
• Hayes is 226th in homers and 181st in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Ben Gamel is batting .246 with 18 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 35 walks.
• Michael Chavis is hitting .245 with 13 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 14 walks.