Astros vs. Angels Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/4/2022

The Houston Astros (85-48) visit the Los Angeles Angels (58-75) at 4:07 PM ET Sunday for a sluggers’ duel between two of the best home-run hitters in baseball. Yordan Alvarez has racked up 31 homers this season (No. 7 in the league) for the favored Astros which sit as -166 favorites, while Shohei Ohtani ranks ninth in the majors with 30 dingers of his own for the underdogs. Jose Urquidy gets the starting nod for Houston while Tucker Davidson is Los Angeles’ starter for the contest.

Astros vs. Angels Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Angels

After analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Angels on the moneyline at +141. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Los Angeles Angels (+141) and Over (9.5)

Astros vs. Angels Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: José Urquidy
• Los Angeles Angels probable starting pitcher: Tucker Davidson
• Game Day: Sunday, September 4, 2022
• Game Time: 4:07 PM ET
• Location: Anaheim, California
• Stadium: Angel Stadium

Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels Pitching Matchup

Astros Starter José Urquidy

• Urquidy gets the start for the Astros, his 25th of the season. He is 12-5 with a 3.69 ERA and 109 strikeouts through 139 innings pitched.
• The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, Aug. 27 against the Baltimore Orioles, when he threw five innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up four hits.
• In 24 games this season, the 27-year-old has put up a 3.69 ERA and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .241 to opposing batters.
• Urquidy is trying to record his 15th quality start of the season.
• Urquidy will try to pitch five or more innings for his 14th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing.
• The opposing Angels offense has a collective .227 batting average, and is 26th in the league with 1006 total hits and 25th in MLB action with 504 runs scored. It has the 24th-ranked slugging percentage (.378) and ranks 12th in home runs (151) in all of MLB.
• Urquidy has a 1.64 ERA and a 0.818 WHIP against the Angels this season in 11 innings pitched, allowing a .158 batting average over two appearances.
• This season, the 27-year-old ranks 36th in ERA (3.69), 29th in WHIP (1.144), and 43rd in K/9 (7.1) among pitchers who qualify.

Angels Starter Tucker Davidson

• Davidson (2-4) will take to the mound for the Angels and make his eighth start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed four innings while giving up one earned run on three hits in a matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 5.77, a 0.778 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.777 in eight games this season.
• In seven starts this season, he’s earned one quality start.
• In seven starts, Davidson has pitched through or past the fifth inning four times. He has a season average of 4.1 frames per outing.
• The Astros have scored 598 runs this season, which ranks ninth in MLB. They have 1084 hits, 17th in baseball, with 172 home runs (fifth in the league).

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• The Astros have entered the game as favorites 113 times this season and won 77, or 68.1%, of those games.
• Houston is 37-20 this season when entering a game favored by -166 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 62.4%.
• Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 49 of 134 chances this season.
• In 134 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 73-61-0 ATS.

Angels Betting Picks & Insights

• The Angels have been underdogs in 64 games this season and have come away with the win 20 times (31.2%) in those contests.
• This season, Los Angeles has been victorious seven times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least +141 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Angels have a 41.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of their 133 opportunities.
• The Angels are 62-71-0 against the spread in their 133 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Alex Bregman is hitting .265 with 34 doubles, 20 home runs and 73 walks.
• Bregman’s home runs rank him 44th in the majors, and he is 20th in RBI.
• Alvarez has put his power on display as he paces his team with 31 home runs with a team-best .294 batting average.
• Alvarez is seventh in homers and 16th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Alvarez enters this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
• Jose Altuve has 32 doubles, 22 home runs and 53 walks while hitting .285.
• Altuve will look to build on his four-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .333 with three doubles, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Kyle Tucker’s 84 runs batted in pace his team.

Angels Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ohtani leads the lineup with a batting average of .266, and paces the Angels in home runs, with 30 and runs batted in with 82.
• Ohtani’s home run total puts him ninth in the big leagues, and he is 14th in RBI.
• Mike Trout is hitting .270 with 18 doubles, two triples, 28 home runs and 43 walks.
• Trout is currently 12th in home runs and 69th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Taylor Ward is hitting .260 with 14 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 51 walks.
• Luis Rengifo is batting .265 with 19 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 14 walks.