Tigers vs. Royals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/4/2022

Hunter Dozier is on the brink of his 99th hit of the season for the Kansas City Royals (54-79) as they get set to take on the Detroit Tigers (50-82) on Sunday. The Royals enter the matchup as -104 underdogs on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Comerica Park at 1:40 PM ET. Detroit’s Matt Manning gets the start, and he’ll go against Kansas City’s Max Castillo.

Tigers vs. Royals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Tigers vs. Royals

After digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Royals on the moneyline at -104. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Kansas City Royals (-104) and Under (8)

Tigers vs. Royals Game Info

• Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Matt Manning
• Kansas City Royals probable starting pitcher: Max Castillo
• Game Day: Sunday, September 4, 2022
• Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
• Location: Detroit, Michigan
• Stadium: Comerica Park

Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Matchup

Tigers Starter Matt Manning

• Manning gets the start for the Tigers, his ninth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 3.79 ERA and 32 strikeouts in 40 1/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent appearance was on Tuesday against the Seattle Mariners, when the righty tossed 2 1/3 innings, surrendering seven earned runs while giving up seven hits.
• In eight games this season, the 24-year-old has an ERA of 3.79, with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .260 against him.
• Manning has four quality starts under his belt this year.
• Manning has pitched five or more innings in a game six times this season entering this matchup.
• He will take the hill against a Royals squad that is batting .245 as a unit (13th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .383 (20th in MLB) with 117 total home runs (23rd in MLB).
• Manning has pitched two innings, giving up one earned run on five hits while striking out two against the Royals this season.

Royals Starter Max Castillo

• The Royals will send Castillo to the mound for his first start this season.
• The 23-year-old right-hander will make his season debut.
• The Tigers have scored 437 runs this season, which ranks 30th in MLB. They are batting .229 for the campaign with 79 home runs, 30th in the league.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Tigers have won nine, or 42.9%, of the 21 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Detroit has a record of 8-11 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -116 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Tigers.
• Detroit and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of their 134 games with a total this season.
• The Tigers are 60-74-0 ATS in their 134 games with a spread this season.

Royals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Royals have been underdogs in 114 games this season and have come away with the win 45 times (39.5%) in those contests.
• This year, Kansas City has won 39 of 106 games when listed as at least -104 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Kansas City and their opponents have hit the over in 66 of their 137 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Royals are 66-71-0 against the spread in their 137 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Not only does Javier Baez lead the Tigers in hitting with his .227 average, he also is their premier power option with 12 home runs and 49 RBI.
• Baez is 122nd in homers and 109th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Baez brings a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .278 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Harold Castro has 19 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 14 walks while batting .278.
• Jeimer Candelario has a team-best 12 home runs.
• Willi Castro has 16 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 14 walks while batting .244.

Royals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals in home runs (20), runs batted in (69) and has recorded a team-best batting average of .248.
• Witt Jr.’s home run total places him 44th in MLB, and he is 36th in RBI.
• MJ Melendez is batting .224 with 15 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 51 walks.
• Melendez ranks 78th overall in homers and 109th in RBI this season.
• Salvador Perez is hitting .236 with 17 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 14 walks.
• Dozier has 24 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 31 walks while batting .243.