Astros vs. Rangers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/5/2022

The Houston Astros (86-48) are -169 favorites when they meet the Texas Rangers (58-75) on Monday at 7:10 PM ET. Christian Vazquez has 99 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Minute Maid Park. Houston’s Hunter Brown gets the start, and he’ll go against Texas’ Martin Perez.

Astros vs. Rangers Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Rangers

Our best bet is the Rangers on the moneyline at +143 after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Texas Rangers (+143) and Over (8)

Astros vs. Rangers Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Hunter Brown
• Texas Rangers probable starting pitcher: Martín Pérez
• Game Day: Monday, September 5, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Houston, Texas
• Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Pitching Matchup

Astros Starter Hunter Brown

• Brown starts for the first time this season for the Astros.
• The righty will make his MLB debut at 24 years old.
• The Rangers are 11th in MLB play with 598 runs scored this season, and are batting .243 with 162 home runs (eighth in baseball).

Rangers Starter Martín Pérez

• The Rangers’ Perez (10-5) will make his 27th start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up five earned runs in five innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Houston Astros.
• The 31-year-old has an ERA of 2.89, a 2.667 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.233 in 26 games this season.
• He has started 26 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in 18 of them.
• Pérez will look to pitch five or more innings for the 25th start in a row.
• The Astros rank ninth in MLB with 607 runs scored this season. They have a .245 batting average this campaign with 174 home runs (fifth in the league).
• The left-hander has faced the Astros four times this season, allowing them to go 25-for-95 with four doubles, a home run and 13 RBI in 26 innings.
• Among qualified pitchers this year, the 31-year-old’s 2.89 ERA ranks 14th, 1.233 WHIP ranks 40th, and 8.2 K/9 ranks 28th.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• The Astros have entered the game as favorites 114 times this season and won 78, or 68.4%, of those games.
• This season, Houston has won 36 of its 56 games, or 64.3%, when favored by at least -169 on the moneyline.
• The Astros have a 62.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Houston’s games have gone over the total in 50 of their 135 chances.
• The Astros are 74-61-0 against the spread in their 135 chances this season.

Rangers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rangers have won in 37, or 45.1%, of the 82 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Texas has come away with a win 11 times in 27 chances when named as an underdog of at least +143 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 41.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Texas and their opponents have gone over in 66 of their 134 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Rangers have posted a record of 72-62-0 against the spread this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Alex Bregman is hitting .265 with 34 doubles, 20 home runs and 73 walks.
• Including all MLB batters, Bregman ranks 54th in batting average, 15th in on-base percentage, and 26th in slugging.
• Yordan Alvarez has shown his power as he paces his team with 31 home runs with a team-leading .294 batting average.
• Alvarez is seventh in home runs and 14th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Alvarez enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a double, three walks and three RBI.
• Jose Altuve has 33 doubles, 23 home runs and 53 walks while hitting .289.
• Altuve will look to build on his five-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .476 with four doubles, two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
• Kyle Tucker has capitalized on opportunities as he leads his team with 86 runs batted in.

Rangers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Corey Seager has swatted a team- leading 29 long balls.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Seager’s home run total is 11th and his RBI tally is 29th.
• Marcus Semien has 22 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 47 walks while batting .243.
• Semien is currently 38th in homers and 41st in RBI in the major leagues.
• Nate Lowe has accumulated a team-best batting average of .305.
• Adolis Garcia has driven in a team-high 84 runs batted in.