Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/5/2022

by | Sep 5, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/5/2022

Luis Patino takes the mound for Tampa Bay while Michael Wacha is Boston’s starter for the contest.

Rays vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Rays vs Red Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
PUSH -110 -110 7 -125 +105 -1.5 +141 -121

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Red Sox

We have the Red Sox on the moneyline at -110 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (-110) and Over (7)

Rays vs. Red Sox Game Info

  • Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Luis Patiño
  • Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Michael Wacha
  • Game Day: Monday, September 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
  • Stadium: Tropicana Field

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Patiño Wacha
0 GS 17
0-0 W-L 10-1
ERA 2.56
0 IP 95.0
0 BB 26
0 SO 76

Rays Starter Luis Patiño

  • Patino starts for the first time this season for the Rays.
  • It’s the first appearance this season for the 22-year-old righty, and his first outing in more than a year.
  • The Red Sox have scored 617 total runs this season, making them MLB’s seventh-ranked scoring offense on the season so far. As a team they have a .260 batting average while hitting 127 home runs (20th in the league).

Red Sox Starter Michael Wacha

  • Wacha (10-1) will take to the mound for the Red Sox and make his 18th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in six innings against the Minnesota Twins.
  • The 31-year-old has pitched to a 2.56 ERA this season with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.5 walks per nine across 17 games.
  • He has earned a quality start five times in 17 starts this season.
  • Wacha will look to pitch five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
  • The Rays have scored 562 runs this season, which ranks 20th in MLB. They have 1070 hits, 18th in baseball, with 119 home runs (22nd in the league).
  • This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Rays in two games, and they have gone 8-for-40 with three doubles, four home runs and six RBI over 11 innings.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Rays have won 56 out of the 90 games, or 62.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 56-34 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -110 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.4% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 61 of their 132 opportunities.
  • The Rays have an ATS record of 64-68-0 in 132 games with a spread this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Red Sox have won in 26, or 40%, of the 65 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Boston has a win-loss record of 26-39 when favored by -110 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 52.4% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 62 of their 135 opportunities.
  • The Red Sox have posted a record of 68-67-0 against the spread this season.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Yandy Diaz is the Rays best hitter thus far this season, hitting at a team-leading .290 clip along with eight homers and 51 RBI.
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Diaz is 184th in home runs and 96th in RBI.
  • Diaz brings a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .500 with three doubles, four walks and four RBI.
  • Randy Arozarena has hit 18 home runs with 70 runs batted in. Both are team-highs.
  • Arozarena is 54th in homers and 35th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Harold Ramirez has 20 doubles, five home runs and 16 walks while hitting .328.
  • Isaac Paredes has shown his power as he leads his team with 18 home runs.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Yandy Díaz 119 .290 .396 .420 8 51 122
Randy Arozarena 127 .264 .331 .448 18 70 128
Harold Ramirez 94 .328 .366 .441 5 48 102
Isaac Paredes 85 .221 .305 .475 18 40 58
David Peralta 112 .255 .320 .442 12 50 94

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rafael Devers has a team-high 25 home runs and has driven in 72 runs.
  • Devers is 22nd in homers and 29th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Xander Bogaerts is hitting .317 to lead the lineup.
  • Bogaerts ranks 122nd in home runs and 49th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
  • Alex Verdugo is batting .283 with 34 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 33 walks.
  • Tommy Pham is hitting .248 with 19 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 49 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rafael Devers 117 .291 .348 .534 25 72 136
Xander Bogaerts 128 .317 .384 .470 12 63 151
Alex Verdugo 128 .283 .328 .403 8 62 141
Tommy Pham 120 .248 .322 .391 15 54 115
J.D. Martínez 116 .273 .341 .429 11 51 123

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