Yankees vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/5/2022

Led by Aaron Judge (two-game homer streak), the New York Yankees (80-54) are favorites versus the Minnesota Twins (68-64) Monday at 1:05 PM ET. Oddsmakers have named the Yankees as -181 favorites for the game. New York’s Jameson Taillon gets the start, and he’ll go against Minnesota’s Chris Archer.

Yankees vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Twins

After looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Twins on the moneyline at +154. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (+154) and Over (8)

Yankees vs. Twins Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Chris Archer
• Game Day: Monday, September 5, 2022
• Game Time: 1:05 PM ET
• Location: The Bronx, New York
• Stadium: Yankee Stadium

New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Jameson Taillon

• Taillon (12-4 with a 3.97 ERA and 117 strikeouts in 140 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Yankees, his 27th of the season.
• In his most recent appearance on Wednesday against the Los Angeles Angels, the right-hander threw two innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering two hits.
• The 30-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.97, with 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings, in 26 games this season. Opponents are hitting .247 against him.
• Taillon heads into the matchup with nine quality starts under his belt this year.
• Taillon will try to pick up his 21st outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per appearance.
• The opposing Twins offense has a collective .248 batting average, and is 13th in the league with 1104 total hits and 16th in MLB play with 583 runs scored. It has the 10th-ranked slugging percentage (.409) and ranks 11th in home runs (154) in all of MLB.
• Taillon has a 9.00 ERA and a 2.500 WHIP against the Twins this season in four innings pitched, allowing a .474 batting average over one appearance.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 30-year-old ranks 38th in ERA (3.97), 26th in WHIP (1.123), and 39th in K/9 (7.5).

Twins Starter Chris Archer

• The Twins will send Archer (2-7) to the mound for his 24th start this season.
• The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed five hits in 4 1/3 innings pitched against the Boston Red Sox on Tuesday.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 4.52, a 1.8 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.317 in 23 games this season.
• None of Archer’s 23 starts this season have met the criteria for a quality start.
• In 23 starts this season, Archer has lasted five or more innings five times, with an average of 4.0 innings per appearance.
• The Yankees rank fourth in MLB with 655 runs scored this season. They have a .237 batting average this campaign with 207 home runs (first in the league).
• The right-hander has allowed the Yankees to go 2-for-15 with a double and an RBI in five innings this season.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• The Yankees have won 74, or 61.2%, of the 121 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• New York is 42-17 this season when entering a game favored by -181 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 64.4% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• New York’s games have gone over the total in 60 of their 134 chances.
• The Yankees are 58-76-0 against the spread in their 134 chances this season.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have won in 19, or 36.5%, of the 52 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Minnesota has come away with a win four times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +154 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 39.4% chance of walking away with the win.
• Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 61 of their 133 opportunities.
• The Twins have posted a record of 63-70-0 against the spread this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Yankees best power option comes in the form of Judge and his 53-homer 115-RBI season, both team highs.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Judge is first in home runs and first in RBI.
• Judge has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .444 with a double, three home runs, three walks and five RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo has 19 doubles, a triple, 30 home runs and 55 walks while hitting .225.
• Including all major league hitters, Rizzo is ninth in home runs and 33rd in RBI.
• Rizzo carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .231 with two home runs, two walks and two RBI.
• DJ LeMahieu is batting .262 with 18 doubles, 12 home runs and 65 walks.
• Gleyber Torres is batting .240 with 22 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 28 walks.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Luis Arraez leads the Twins with a .317 batting average.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Arraez is 184th in homers and 134th in RBI.
• Arraez carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .244 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBI.
• Carlos Correa is batting .270 with 17 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 52 walks.
• Correa ranks 65th overall in homers and 122nd in RBI this season.
• Max Kepler has 18 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 49 walks while batting .232.
• Gio Urshela has 22 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 29 walks while hitting .265.